The study by University College London researchers demonstrates for the first time that the human habenula, half the size of a pea, tracks predictions about negative events, like painful electric shocks, suggesting a role in learning from bad experiences.
A hyperactive habenula could cause people to make disproportionately negative predictions, researchers said.
In the study, brain scans from 23 healthy volunteers showed that the habenula activates in response to pictures associated with painful electric shocks, with the opposite occurring for pictures that predicted winning money.
In animals, habenula cells have been found to fire when bad things happen or are anticipated.
"The habenula tracks our experiences, responding more the worse something is expected to be," said senior author Dr Jonathan Roiser of the UCL Institute of Cognitive Neuroscience.
"For example, the habenula responds much more strongly when an electric shock is almost certain than when it is unlikely.
"In this study we showed that the habenula doesn't just express whether something leads to negative events or not; it signals quite how much bad outcomes are expected," Roiser said.
Volunteers were shown a random sequence of pictures each followed by a set chance of a good or bad outcome, occasionally pressing a button simply to show they were paying attention. Habenula activation tracked the changing expectation of bad and good events.
"Fascinatingly, people were slower to press the button when the picture was associated with getting shocked, even though their response had no bearing on the outcome," said lead author Dr Rebecca Lawson, also at the UCL Institute of Cognitive Neuroscience.
The study is published in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.
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