Global research major Moody's in a report said the ongoing high barriers for new entrants would favour European beverage makers already established in India.
"We believe India's alcoholic beverage market has strong long-term growth potential for European producers. This is supported by a number of factors, including our expectation that India's economic growth will continue to outperform that of its peers in 2015-16," Moody's Investor Service said.
In India, alcohol production, distribution and sales are regulated by each state. The different regulations and existence of central state tax (CST) payable on goods moving from one state to another are the biggest limit on growth, it said.
"We do not expect the regulatory environment to materially improve during the next two to three years and this will impede any broad improvement in operating profit margins for alcoholic beverage companies," Moody's said adding that existing manufacturers will have strong protection until regulations change.
Among other restrictive regulations liquor prices are determined by individual state governments once a year and therefore alcoholic beverage companies operating in India cannot adjust prices based on fluctuations in the cost of raw materials, inflation or competitive pressures.
Moody's Investor Service expects beer volume growth of 8.8 per cent a year during 2015-18, albeit from a low base, and spirits segment volume growth to moderate to around 3.7 per cent a year, more in line with the global average.
High barriers to entry into the Indian market owing to persistent restrictions would be positive for brewers like Heineken NV, and SABMiller and for spirits market share leaders Diageo and Pernod Ricard, who are already established in the market, it added.
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