Brent facing biggest monthly slide in two years on supply rise

Image
Reuters LONDON
Last Updated : Jul 31 2018 | 3:36 PM IST

By Amanda Cooper

LONDON (Reuters) - Sliding Brent crude futures were on track for their biggest monthly loss in two years on Tuesday after a Reuters survey showed OPEC's oil output hit a 2018 high in July, reigniting concern about supply overtaking demand.

October Brent crude futures were down 35 cents at $75.20 per barrel by 0911 GMT. The September contract expires later on Tuesday.

U.S. crude futures fell 42 cents to $69.71 a barrel, after having risen more than 2 percent the day before.

Brent has fallen by around 6 percent in July in its largest one-month slide since July 2016. U.S. futures have fallen by slightly less than this, but are still on track for their biggest monthly decline since last October.

A Reuters survey on Monday showed OPEC increased production in July by 70,000 barrels per day (bpd) to 32.64 million bpd, a high for the year.

Russian energy minister Alexander Novak said last week that Russia's output will hit a new 30-year high of 11.02 million bpd IN 2018.

OPEC has pledged to offset the loss of Iranian supply as upcoming U.S. sanctions have already started to cut exports from OPEC's third-largest producer.

"On the supply side, the latest news from Russia shows they increased production by around 300,000 bpd ... as well as an increase in production in the OPEC survey," Saxo Bank senior manager Ole Hansen said.

"The global balance (between supply and demand) has softened and has been less tight in July, hence the sell-off we've seen."

U.S. President Donald Trump appeared to soften his approach to Iran, saying on Monday he would be willing to meet with President Hassan Rouhani without any preconditions. Just a week ago Trump threatened on Twitter to unleash severe consequences on Iran .

The United States has indicated that it wants Iranian exports to hit zero under the sanctions it pledged to reintroduce in May. These go into full effect in November.

Weekly U.S. inventory data is scheduled for release beginning on Tuesday with the American Petroleum Institute (API), an industry group, followed by the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday.

Six analysts polled ahead of these reports estimated, on average, that crude stocks fell by about 3.2 million barrels in the week ended July 27.

The API is scheduled to release its data for last week at 4:30 p.m. EDT (2030 GMT) on Tuesday and the EIA report is due at 10:30 a.m. EDT on Wednesday.

(Additional reporting by Aaron Sheldrick in TOKYO; editing by Jason Neely)

Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jul 31 2018 | 3:25 PM IST

Next Story