Euro, Treasury yields fall on worry over Greek default

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Reuters NEW YORK
Last Updated : Jun 20 2015 | 5:48 AM IST

By Herbert Lash

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The euro fell against other major currencies, and U.S. Treasury yields and a gauge of global equity markets also retreated on Friday, as worries that Greece may soon default on its debt drove investors to safe-haven assets.

Trading in European markets remained calm as investors hoped an emergency meeting of euro zone leaders next week will keep Greece from defaulting later this month on 1.6 billion euros in debt repayments to the International Monetary Fund.

The subdued reaction to the Greek crisis in recent weeks supports a notion held by some in the market that the exposure of Europe's private sector to Greece is minimal. A default or a Greek exit from the euro zone would have little impact on the other economies, this belief holds.

Greek shares <.ATG>, which have slumped 17 percent this year, rose 0.57 percent even though talks collapsed late on Thursday.

The euro fell 0.04 percent against the dollar, within recent ranges. Major European stock markets rose, with the exception of Germany.

But the dollar and Treasury prices rose, a sign some investors were seeking safety in these assets while Greeks pulled more than 1 billion euros out of their banks in a single day, banking sources said on Friday.

"Right now what the market has priced in is a reasonably positive outcome, one that would delay any default," said Millan Mulraine, deputy head of U.S. strategy at TD Securities in New York. "But the markets are still nervous and that's what we're seeing in Treasuries right now."

Benchmark 10-year Treasury notes were last up 21/32 in price to yield 2.755 percent.

The dollar index was up 0.02 percent after touching its lowest in a month on Thursday. The dollar was down 0.24 percent against the yen after earlier trading higher.

"Greece remains highly combustible, and that's a recipe for dollar strength and risk aversion," said Richard Franulovich, senior currency strategist at Westpac in New York.

Stocks on Wall Street fell, but the key indexes were still on track for their strongest performance in about two months.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 52.71 points, or 0.29 percent, to 18,063.13. The S&P 500 slid 5.9 points, or 0.28 percent, to 2,115.34 and the Nasdaq Composite lost 11.29 points, or 0.22 percent, to 5,121.66.

In Europe, the pan-regional FTSEurofirst 300 index rose 0.34 percent to close at 1,529.65 but Germany's DAX <.GDAXI> fell 0.54 percent.

The main European indexes trimmed gains in late trade as U.S. stocks reversed some of the previous day's sharp advances and the expiry of June stock options added to market volatility.

Uncertainty over Greece meant betting on short-term gains or being long going into weekend was off the table, said Richard Griffiths, associate director at Berkeley Futures in London.

MSCI's all-country stock index fell 0.12 percent.

Oil fell below $63 a barrel as concern over Greece and a forecast that U.S. shale oil output would keep growing this year countered signs of a pickup in demand.

Brent crude for August dropped $1.60 to $62.66, while U.S. crude for July was down $1.26 at $59.19.

(Editing by Bernadette Baum)

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First Published: Jun 20 2015 | 5:30 AM IST

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