Expert views: Indian consumer inflation accelerates; factory output jumps

Image
Reuters MUMBAI
Last Updated : Oct 12 2015 | 6:07 PM IST

MUMBAI (Reuters) - India's annual consumer price inflation quickened to 4.41 percent in September from a year earlier, compared to an annualised 3.66 percent in August, government data showed on Monday.

That was slightly above analyst forecasts for consumer inflation of 4.3 percent.

At the same time separate data showed industrial output grew a better-than-expected 6.4 percent in August compared with a downwardly revised 4.1 percent growth in July.

TIRTHANKAR PATNAIK, INDIA STRATEGIST, MIZUHO BANK, MUMBAI

"The CPI number is largely on par, although food inflation has marginally gone up, which was also expected given onion and pulses prices had gone up.

Also Read

"Given that there was a sharp fall in last year's September number, this time the positive base effect has worn off.

"We don't expect any change in RBI's policy stance."

SONAL VARMA, INDIA ECONOMIST AT NOMURA, MUMBAI

"Within CPI there is some pressure building up in food price inflation, but still it's lower than our expectation.

"IIP (industrial output) is a surprise and there are some volatile components in the data like cable and inflated rubber.

"Overall IIP number has been inching higher and this could be a bit exaggerated. The trend of recovery in growth continues, and macro environment is good with inflation under control. We don't expect any change in the RBI's stance."

(Reporting by Suvashree Choudhury; Compiled by Rafael Nam)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Oct 12 2015 | 5:58 PM IST

Next Story