Gold heading for first monthly dip in three on rate hike worries

The metal fell 1 per cent to $1,308.65 on Tuesday, its lowest since June 28

Gold heading for first monthly dip in three on rate hike worries
Reuters
Last Updated : Aug 31 2016 | 2:58 PM IST

Gold stood above two-month lows touched in the prior session as investors waited for US nonfarm payroll numbers later this week for clues on the timing of a Federal Reserve rate hike, but the bullion was on track for its first monthly decline since May.

Spot gold was up 0.1 per cent at $1,312.55 per ounce at 0654 GMT on Wednesday. The metal fell 1 per cent to $1,308.65 on Tuesday, its lowest since June 28.

Gold was heading for a drop of 2.8 per cent in August.

US gold futures were mostly unchanged at $1,315.50

"There is some buying today ... people are taking the view that gold is going to fluctuate within a tight range prior to a strong signal from the Fed," said Richard Xu, a fund manager at HuaAn Gold, China's top gold exchange-traded fund (ETF).

US consumer confidence rose to an 11-month high in August, with households more upbeat about the labour market, in a further sign that the economy was regaining steam after faltering in the first half of the year.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on Friday the case for higher rates was strengthening, although she gave little clarity on the timing of a move. In an interview on Tuesday, Vice Chair Stanley Fischer said the US, job market is nearly at full strength and that the pace of rate increases by the Fed will depend on how well the economy is doing.

The pace of rate hikes is heavily dependent on US economic data. Friday's nonfarm report for August, as well as other data, could reinforce hawkish messages from Fed officials.

Gold is highly sensitive to rising US interest rates which increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion while boosting the dollar in which it is priced.

Gold has a strong downside obstacle at $1,304 and an inability to break it may see a relief rally, said Hareesh V, research head at Kochi, India-based Geofin Comtrade Ltd.

"Slipping past $1,304 will likely trigger a major selloff and probably take prices lower towards $1,280 initially followed by $1,220, where the 200-day moving average support is placed."

Spot gold may retest a support at $1,308 per ounce, with a good chance of breaking below this level, and falling more to the next support at $1,303, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

Silver edged higher 0.7 per cent to $18.69 an ounce.

Platinum was flat at $1,053.24. It touched an eight-week low of $1,048 Tuesday. Palladium rose 0.6 per cent after touching a five-week low of $670.72 in the previous session

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First Published: Aug 31 2016 | 12:52 PM IST

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