Gold ticks higher after BOJ, awaits Fed decision

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Reuters LONDON
Last Updated : Sep 21 2016 | 8:23 PM IST

By Eric Onstad

LONDON (Reuters) - Gold edged higher on Wednesday after the Bank of Japan adopted a target for long-term interest rates, and further gains were expected if the U.S. central bank holds back from a rate increase.

Gold climbed along with stock markets after the Bank of Japan overhauled its monetary policy framework, switching to targeting interest rates and sidelining more than three years of massive money printing.

"It provided a bit of a lift to gold as well as well as other assets, but certainly we are going to be more or less on hold until we see the Fed statement later," analyst Tom Kendall at ICBC Standard Bank in London said.

The U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged later on Wednesday amid tepid inflation and recent weak economic data, but could signal an increased likelihood of a rate rise by the end of the year.

"My view is we're certainly not going to see any rate increase from the Fed, and any shift in the language is going to be fairly minor, so although they'll be some volatility around the release, my guess is we'll see gold end higher rather than lower."

Spot gold was up 0.9 percent at $1,326.87 an ounce by 1405 GMT, while U.S. gold futures climbed 1 percent to $1,331 an ounce.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen is scheduled to conclude the U.S. central bank's meeting with a news conference starting at 1830 GMT on Wednesday.

One analyst said gold could be pressured since Yellen is expected to prepare the market for a December hike.

"Against the backdrop of prevailing bullish sentiment in the gold futures market and fading safe-haven demand, prices should come under pressure again and move below $1,300 per ounce," analyst Carsten Menke at Julius Baer in Switzerland said.

"This is not least due to the fact that Asian gold demand remains very weak."

Holdings of the SPDR Gold Trust, the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, slid 0.41 percent to 938.75 tonnes on Tuesday.

The dollar index, which measures the currency against six major currencies, pared gains and a touch weaker at 95.952 after rising as much as 0.3 percent.

Spot gold remains neutral in a range of $1,313-$1,319 per ounce, and only an escape from this zone could give it a direction, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

Spot silver gained 1.9 percent to $19.62 an ounce.

Platinum climbed 2.4 percent to $1,051.80 and palladium rose 1.3 percent to $690.

Macquarie does not expect any significant rally in platinum until 2018 or 2019, the bank said in a note.

"The price will remain far lower than it has been in the past, a legacy of declining diesel (vehicles) and the prospect of EVs (electric vehicles), though platinum's relatively broad range of uses will help cushion the blow."

(Additional reporting by Swati Verma and Nallur Sethuraman in Bengaluru. Editing by William Hardy and Susan Fenton)

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

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First Published: Sep 21 2016 | 8:14 PM IST

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