HSBC says sees two UK interest rate hikes by end-2018

Image
Reuters LONDON
Last Updated : Sep 18 2017 | 1:48 PM IST

LONDON (Reuters) - HSBC, one of Britain's "Big Four" banks, expects the Bank of England to raise interest rates twice over the coming 12 months, it said on Monday, having previously seen rates staying at their record lows until the end of 2018.

The bank said it expected rates to be lifted by 25 basis points in November and then again in May 2018, taking Britain's benchmark interest rate to 0.75 percent.

"The Bank of England's MPC minutes in September were hawkish, but the subsequent comments from former doves Mark Carney and Jan Vlieghe appear to have sealed the deal," wrote HBSC economist Elizabeth Martins in a note to clients.

As a result of its new BoE forecasts as well as other "cyclical forces", HSBC said it was revising its year-end sterling forecast by a full 15 cents to $1.35.

"The Bank of England's unexpected hunger to join other G10 central banks in the race to the exit from accommodative monetary policy has given additional impetus to sterling, a currency that has happily ignored the political intrigue of Brexit throughout 2017," wrote HSBC's global head of currency research, David Bloom.

Sterling recorded its strongest week in more than eight years last week, with an almost 3 percent climb against the dollar to above $1.36, after the BoE said rates were likely to rise in the "coming months".

HSBC said it expected sterling to be weighed down by political uncertainty caused by Brexit next year, and expected the currency to dip to $1.26 by the end of 2018.

(Reporting by Jemima Kelly, editing by Nigel Stephenson)

Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Sep 18 2017 | 1:42 PM IST

Next Story