Oil down 2 percent on IEA warning, fear of U.S. stockpile rise

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Reuters NEW YORK
Last Updated : Jul 13 2016 | 7:49 PM IST

By Barani Krishnan

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices fell 2 percent on Wednesday after the International Energy Agency (IEA) said a global supply glut was threatening market recovery and investors braced for a possible rise in U.S. inventories.

The IEA, which advises industrialized nations on energy policies, said crude stockpiles kept rising last month, pushing floating storage to the highest level in seven years.

"(Stocks) are at such elevated levels, especially for products for which demand growth is slackening, that they remain a major dampener on oil prices," the Paris-based group said in a report.

Brent crude was down $1, or 2.1 percent, at $47.47 a barrel by 9:48 a.m. EDT (1348 GMT).

U.S. crude slipped by 80 cents, or 1.8 percent, to $46.

Both benchmarks rose nearly 5 percent on Tuesday for their largest daily gain in three months before trade group American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a surprise crude inventory build of 2.2 million barrels for last week.

The API also cited an unexpected rise of 1.5 million barrels in gasoline and 2.6 million in distillates, that include diesel, for the week to July 8. [API/S]

A Reuters poll of oil market analysts has forecast instead a drawdown of 3 million barrels in crude, a drop of 400,000 barrels in gasoline and rise of 300,000 barrels in distillates. [EIA/S]

The U.S. government's Energy Information Administration will issue official inventory data at 10:30 a.m. EDT (1430 GMT).

"If we don't draw more than 2 million barrels east of the Rockies, I would expect another move under $45," Scott Shelton, broker with ICAP in Durham, North Carolina said.

A large crude build could spark a selloff breaching the 100-day moving averages of $45.06 for Brent, Shelton added. U.S. crude has already breached its 100-day moving average of $46.26, hitting $46.07 earlier on Wednesday.

Jim Ritterbusch of Chicago-based oil markets consultancy said U.S. gasoline futures, also known as RBOB, will likely fall more than crude in the event of a large stock build, with refining margins, called cracks, particularly under pressure.

"RBOB will revive its role as downside leader in the complex, in contributing to weakening in the NYMEX crack differentials into new low territory," he said.

(Additional reporting by Karolin Schaps in LONDON; Editing by Nick Zieminski)

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First Published: Jul 13 2016 | 7:43 PM IST

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