Rising U.S. rig count knocks oil, but bullish support remains in place

Image
Reuters LONDON
Last Updated : Apr 30 2018 | 4:16 PM IST

By Amanda Cooper

LONDON (Reuters) - Oil fell on Monday after a rising rig count in the United States suggested the boom in shale output is showing no signs of slowing, but prices held near their highest in over three years and were set for a second straight month of gains.

The prospect of the United States reimposing sanctions on Iran and OPEC's continued discipline in withholding output have kept the market well above $70 a barrel for most of this month.

Brent crude futures were down 84 cents on the day at $74.80 a barrel by 0808 GMT. The price climbed to $75.47 last week, the highest since November 2014.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures were down 69 cents at $67.41 a barrel.

"Generally, (the rig count) took the edge off an otherwise bullish market," said SEB chief analyst for commodities Bjarne Schieldrop.

"On top of that (producers) are already drilling more than they can complete and adding on more rigs. So shale is booming and it's still heating up. That is hard to digest for a bull."

U.S. drillers added five oil rigs in the week to April 27, bringing the total count to 825, the highest level since March 2015, General Electric's Baker Hughes energy services firm said.

Crude production in the United States has grown by more than 25 percent since mid-2016 to a record 10.59 million barrels per day (bpd). Only Russia currently produces more, at around 11 million bpd.

Meanwhile, Brent prices have gained nearly 6 percent this month, buoyed by expectations the United States will renew sanctions against Iran.

U.S. President Donald Trump has until May 12 to decide whether to restore the sanctions on Iran that were lifted after an agreement over its disputed nuclear programme.

"Things are not quite the same as in the previous decade, when Iran was regarded as a menace and a threat. Over the last three-four years Iran has behaved itself - according to everybody," said Sukrit Vijayakar, director of energy consultancy Trifecta.

"It's only Trump who wants to back out of the deal, but he wants to back out of so many deals ... If you keep saying about backing out, you lose credibility as a state. Everyone is feeling the pinch of OPEC cuts anyway," Vijayakar added.

Re-imposed sanctions on Iran, OPEC's third-largest producer, would probably result in a reduction of Iranian oil exports, tightening global supplies even more.

Further backing oil prices are declining output in Venezuela, OPEC's biggest producer in Latin America, and Angola, Africa's second-largest exporter.

(Additional reporting by Koustav Samanta in SINGAPORE; Editing by Jon Boyle)

Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Apr 30 2018 | 4:12 PM IST

Next Story