Also read: RBI policy 2023: A look at the existing repo rate, trends and other figures
As seen in the table above, FD rates seem to be peaking in this cycle. Most banks are currently offering more than 7 per cent to depositors on select deposit tenors with a 25-75 bps premium to senior citizens. Whenever banks face liquidity challenges, the interest rates for deposits are likely to rise and when the liquidity challenges subside, fixed deposit rates may fall.
To determine whether liquidity challenges are subsiding for banks in India, several factors can be considered including – repo rate, interbank lending rates, deposit growth, credit growth, inflation, and overall economy of the country.
"We’re seeing inflation cool. We’re seeing the 10-year bond fall below 7 percent for the first time in a while. We’re also seeing interest rates on new loans being lower than rates on existing loans. Factors such as the return of Rs 2000 banknotes to the banks, and the pause on the repo rate point towards a flattening of interest rates. Once this happens, banks may start cutting their deposit rates in line with the broad costs of borrowing," said Adhil Shetty of BankBazaar.com.
Some of the rates being offered by banks for senior citizens ( All figures in percentage)
If you are planning to invest in fixed deposits, this should be a good time to lock into these peaking rates as it would help lower your reinvestment risk, suggests Shetty.
When interest rates are high for FDs, it is sensible to opt for longer tenors whereas when interest rates are low, it makes sense to choose shorter tenors. It is also a good idea to ladder your FDs to earn higher interest during volatility in the interest rate.
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