Nifty Auto index seen in downtrend, Energy range-bound; suggest charts

According to Ravi Nathani, an independent technical analyst, the Nifty Auto index can dip to 20,200 and 19,850 levels in the near term.

equity market, stocks, share market
Ravi Nathani Mumbai
3 min read Last Updated : Feb 29 2024 | 6:32 AM IST
Nifty Auto Index

The Nifty Auto Index, currently trading at a CMP (Current Market Price) of 20,372.35, is showing a near-term downward trend on charts. The anticipated support levels are identified around 20,200 and 19,850.

In light of this trend, the recommended trading strategy is to sell on rallies, with a strict stop-loss set at 20,800 on a closing basis.

Technical indicators, such as the short-term Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are signaling a downtrend. These indicators suggest that selling pressure is likely to persist during upward price movements.

Traders are advised to exercise caution and consider selling positions during rallies, aligning with the prevailing trend. The identified support levels at 20,200 and 19,850 serve as crucial points for traders to monitor. These levels may act as potential zones for rebounds or extended downward movements.

Implementing a strict stop-loss at 20,800 is essential for risk management, providing a predefined exit point in case of adverse market movements.

In summary, the Nifty Auto Index is currently exhibiting a downward trend, and the recommended strategy is to sell on rallies. Traders should closely monitor the support levels at 20,200 and 19,850 while adhering to a strict stop-loss at 20,800 to manage risks effectively. The technical indicators further reinforce the notion of a downtrend, guiding traders in their decision-making process.

Nifty Energy Index

The Nifty Energy Index, currently trading at a CMP (Current Market Price) of 38,748.05, is displaying a range-bound pattern on charts, delineated by levels at 40,150 on the upside and 37,850 on the downside.

The breaking or closing above or below this range is considered a triggering point, indicating potential directional movements.

Given the technical indicators like MACD, RSI, and short-term EMAs signaling a downtrend, suggesting an inclination towards selling pressure, the suggested trading strategy is to book profits on rallies. This implies taking advantage of upward movements to sell, anticipating a potential downturn.

Support on charts is anticipated around 35,700, and careful observation is recommended if the index breaks and closes below the lower range at 37,850. This level becomes critical as it may signify a shift in the prevailing trend.

For traders with a higher risk tolerance, going short at the current market price is an option. However, for safer trading practices, waiting for a confirmed breakdown below 37,850 is advised before initiating positions.

In summary, the Nifty Energy Index is currently range-bound between 40,150 and 37,850. Booking profits on rallies is favored, given the downtrend signaled by technical indicators. Traders are advised to keep a close watch on the critical support level of 37,850, with riskier traders considering short positions at the current market price and safer traders waiting for a confirmed breakdown.

(Ravi Nathani is an independent technical analyst. Views expressed are personal).

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

Topics :Market technicalsMarket Outlooktechnical analysistechnical chartsNifty Auto indexenergy sector

First Published: Feb 29 2024 | 6:32 AM IST

Next Story