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Crude oil prices are expected to soften significantly in 2026, and they could touch USD 50/barrel by June 2026, a report said on Monday. According to the SBI Research report, the deceleration of prices is likely to be faster, and this could average CPI inflation for FY27 decisively below 3.4 per cent. Benign energy prices will impact the GDP outlook favourably, it said, adding that the expected impact on annual GDP growth is around 10-15 bps. The medium-term trends since 2022 for Brent and Indian basket show that there has been a downward trend in crude prices, it added. The latest event in Venezuela has not impacted the price significantly on the upside, the report pointed out. Brent crude price has been hovering around USD 60 per barrel for the last one week. Since oil prices constitute the largest component in the import basket and cannot be substituted with domestic production in the short term, contraction of the import bill on account of crude import prices will impact the
India's imports of Russian crude oil are set to register a sharp pullback in December, but the decline reflects short-term disruptions rather than a structural shift in sourcing patterns. According to real-time data analytics company Kpler, Russian crude imports into India are expected to fall to around 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) in December, down from 1.84 million bpd in November, marking the lowest level since December 2022. Indian refiners continue to buy Russian crude from non-sanctioned entities. The drop, flagged by analysts as early as October, has been driven by disruptions resulting from US action on top Russian exporters, Rosneft and Lukoil, as well as due to the impact of EU sanctions on Russian-linked product flows. "India's appetite for Russian crude cooled sharply in December, with imports falling to their lowest levels since 2022 as major refiners cut intake following sanctions on Rosneft and Lukoil. This appears to be a near-term adjustment, with Russian crud
After years of forecasts predicting an imminent peak in oil demand amid a swift shift to renewables, oil and gas made a quiet but unmistakable comeback, with India emerging as a central driver of global consumption. Major energy outlooks - from BP and McKinsey to the IEA - pushed peak oil into the 2030s and revised 2050 demand upward. And every forecaster said India will emerge as the epicentre of global demand growth, with its rise in appetite for energy outpacing that of China and Southeast Asia combined. The revival of the 'Oil is King' narrative in 2025 was fuelled by policy delays, infrastructure bottlenecks, and geopolitical tensions. European nations, long champions of the clean energy transition, leaned more heavily on fossil fuels as supply shortfalls and high prices persisted amid the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war. In the US, President Donald Trump's fossil-forward policies reinforced this trend. The result: oil was back on the centre board. India's oil and gas sector in 202