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The conflict in West Asia and fresh trade investigations by the US have resulted in increased volatility in the global markets, the RBI bulletin said on Monday. India's foreign exchange reserves remain adequate to provide a cushion against external shocks, said an article on the state of the economy published in the bulletin. The second advance estimates of GDP for 2025-26 indicate sustained resilience of the Indian economy, it noted. "High-frequency indicators signal towards economic activity gaining momentum in February," the article said. It further said CPI headline inflation picked up in February on account of food and beverages. System liquidity has remained comfortable, and the total flow of financial resources to the commercial sector rose, with a rise in financing from both the bank and non-bank sources, it added. The central bank, however, said views expressed in the article are those of the authors and do not represent the views of the Reserve Bank of India.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has advocated a set of immediate demand-side measures, including work-from-home, lower speed limits, and reduced air travel to cushion the impact of a historic global oil supply shock triggered by disruptions in the Middle East. Oil prices spiked to over USD 100 per barrel after the US and Israel attacked Iran and Tehran's sweeping retaliatory actions. For India, which imports about 88 per cent of its crude oil needs, the surge in global prices poses a significant macroeconomic risk -- widening the current account deficit, pressuring the rupee, and increasing fuel costs for households and businesses. While petrol and diesel prices have so far not been increased, cooking gas LPG rates have been hiked by Rs 60 per cylinder. "The conflict in the Middle East has created the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market, due to the near halt in shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz," IEA said in a new report. Some 15 mill