According to political observers, such is the electoral track record of the constituency, known as Manjeri before delimitation, in the Muslim heartland in north Kerala.
Ahmed of IUML, the second largest partner in Congress-led ruling UDF, is pitted against CPI-M's debutant woman candidate P K Sainaba.
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The silver lining for Sainaba is that, Manjeri has a history of electing a CPI-M candidate in the 2004 Lok Sabha polls. T K Hamsa defeated IUML's K P Majeed with a huge margin of 47,743 votes in that poll.
However, political observers say political situation in the state was entirely different at that time. UDF was virtually routed in 2004 polls due to strong anti-UDF sentiments and could win only one seat out of 20.
Then also, it was Ahmed who made it to Parliament from nearby Ponnani segment.
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