Gold under pressure as looming US interest rate hike weighs

Investors fear higher rates could dent demand for non-interest-paying bullion, while boosting the dollar

Image via Shutterstock
<a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/pic-126155393/stock-photo-background-with-gold-of-coins.html" target="_blank">Image</a> via Shutterstock
Reuters Singapore
Last Updated : Dec 14 2015 | 1:54 PM IST
Gold was little changed on Monday, ahead of a Federal Reserve policy meeting this week when the US central bank is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade.

In its last policy meeting of the year on December 15-16, the Fed is seen raising rates by a quarter of a percentage point.

Investors fear higher rates could dent demand for non-interest-paying bullion, while boosting the dollar. Gold has already slid 9% for the year, its third straight annual decline, in anticipation of a rate hike.

Spot gold eased 0.1% to $1,073 an ounce by 0651 GMT, after gaining 0.3% on Friday.

"With the Fed decision only two days away, price fluctuations will be limited as a rate hike is already priced in," said Mark To, head of research at Hong Kong's Wing Fung Financial Group.

Gold prices could go up immediately following the rate hike announcement due to the recent sharp declines, but they will eventually drift lower to $1,000, he said.

"For speculators, the best course of action now is to liquidate part of their gold holdings, whether in exchange traded funds (ETFs) or futures," To said.

Assets in the top gold ETF, SPDR Gold Trust, are already at their lowest since September 2008 on investor outflows.

Speculators' short positions in gold are near record highs. Hedge funds and money managers reduced their bearish stance in COMEX gold in the week to December 8 as prices rallied modestly, US Commodity Futures Trading Commission data showed on Friday, but were still not too far from the prior week's record high.

BofA Merrill Lynch said on Friday it expected the gold price to slide to $950 early in 2016 due to the upcoming US rate hike, joining a chorus of other brokerages including Goldman Sachs that have predicted a drop to or below $1,000.

Options traders are also boosting their bets that gold will soon hit $1,000 an ounce, data last week showed.

In the wider markets, the dollar edged higher against a basket of major currencies, limiting gold. A drop in oil prices to seven-year lows also hurt bullion.
*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Dec 14 2015 | 12:07 PM IST

Next Story