US consumer prices unexpectedly fall; core inflation benign

Fed has 2% inflation target, tracks an inflation measure which is currently at 1.5%

consumers, shopping mall
People are seen walking through Roosevelt Field shopping mall in Garden City, New York
Reuters
Last Updated : Jun 14 2017 | 9:04 PM IST

US consumer prices unexpectedly fell in May as the cost of gasoline and a range other goods declined, pointing to a moderation in inflation pressures that could impact on further interest rate increases this year.

The Labor Department said on Wednesday its Consumer Price Index dipped 0.1 per cent last month after rising 0.2 per cent in April. The second drop in the CPI in three months could worry Federal Reserve officials, who have previously viewed the weakness in inflation as transitory.

While the US central bank is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points at the end of two-day meeting later on Wednesday, weak inflation, if sustained, could put further monetary tightening this year in jeopardy.

The Fed has a two per cent inflation target and tracks an inflation measure which is currently at 1.5 per cent.

In the 12 months through May, the CPI increased 1.9 per cent.

That was the smallest increase since last November and followed a 2.2 per cent gain in April. The year-on-year gain in the CPI was still larger than the 1.6 per cent average annual increase over the past 10 years.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the CPI unchanged last month and advancing two per cent from a year ago. The so-called core CPI, which strips out food and energy costs, edged up 0.1 per cent last month after a similar gain in April. The monthly core CPI was restrained by decreases in the prices of apparel, airline fares, communication and medical care services.

The core CPI increased 1.7 per cent year-on-year, the smallest rise since May 2015, after advancing 1.9 per cent in April. May's increase was just below the 1.8 per cent average annual increase over the past decade.

Last month, rental costs increased 0.3 per cent, matching April's gain. Owners' equivalent rent of primary residence advanced 0.2 per cent after a similar increase in April.

Gasoline prices tumbled 6.4 per cent, the largest drop since February 2016, after jumping 1.2 per cent in April. Food prices rose for a fifth straight month.

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jun 14 2017 | 9:04 PM IST

Next Story