IT index recorded sharpest fall in six months

IT index tanked nearly 4%, its sharpest fall since April, as compared to less than 1% fall in benchmark index.

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Deepak Korgaonkar Mumbai
Last Updated : Oct 17 2013 | 5:41 PM IST
Information technology (IT) stocks recorded their sharpest single day fall in past six months on Thursday with most of the frontline stocks slipping 7% on profit booking. Among sectoral indices, the S&P BSE IT index was the hardest hit in trade on Thursday, slipping nearly 4%, or 315 points to 8,450 levels as compared to less than one per cent fall in benchmark index S&P BSE Sensex.

Among individual stocks, HCL Technologies, Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), Infosys, Tech Mahindra, Wipro, CMC and MindTree lost between 2 – 7% on the BSE.

Earlier on April 12 this year, IT index had tanked 11% against less than 2% drop in the benchmark index after Infosys issued weak revenue guidance for financial year 2014.

Most investors flocked to the IT stocks as a safe haven bet in volatile market conditions amid a sliding rupee against the US dollar. Most stocks had outperformed the market with BSE IT index surging 15% compared to 4% rise in benchmark index in past one month on expectation of strong set of numbers from technology companies. In past three months, IT index has rallied 28% against less than 3% gain in S&P BSE Sensex.

Sharp fall

HCL Technologies was the largest loser in this pack that cracked 7% to Rs 1,079 after hitting a record high of 1,177 on Tuesday, while investors booked profit in TCS after the company reported a strong set of numbers for the quarter ended September 2013. The stock lost 5% after making an all-time high of Rs 2,259 in the previous session.

The company’s dollar revenue grew by 5.4% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) to $3,337 million. TCS’ EBITDA and EBIT margins jumped up by 300 bps (basis points) and 314 bps q-o-q to 31.6% and 30.2% respectively, aided by sharp Indian rupee depreciation.

Analyst at Angel Broking remains positive on the stock with target price of Rs 2,500 per share saying TCS which has been a consistent performer and the operational exuberance from the company continues.

Point out Kuldeep Koul and Varun Sharma of ICICI Securities in their October 15 report: “TCS is trading at 20x our FY15 EPS estimate of Rs110, which embeds EBIT margins of 28.4%, higher than the management’s target range of 26-28%. We see the valuation as full and near-term upside on the stock as limited. We upgrade the target multiple to 21x from 20x earlier and retain our ADD rating given consistency in execution and best-in-class revenue predictability. TCS will eventually grow into its valuation. We however see more upside in Infosys.”

HCL Technologies also posted better-than-expected 3.5% q-o-q growth in dollar revenue at $1,270 million for the quarter under review. The company’s EBITDA and EBIT margins jumped up by 300bp each to 26.3% and 23.8% respectively. Analysts at Prabhudas Lilladher suggest that there is room for 3–5% EPS upgrade. 
    Returns in %    
Company 15-Oct-13 3 mth 1 mth 17-Oct-13 % chg
HCL Tech 1160.40 32.5 16.4 1083.15 -6.7
TCS 2218.15 34.5 16.6 2107.70 -5.0
Tech Mahindra 1583.15 44.9 23.8 1527.85 -3.5
Wipro 510.40 36.0 13.2 495.10 -3.0
Infosys 3348.30 22.6 11.9 3270.10 -2.3
           
BSE IT index 8764.77 28.4 14.5 8449.78 -3.6
S&P BSE Sensex 20547.62 2.6 4.1 20415.51 -0.6
           
Price in Rs on BSE
Data complied by BS Research Bureau

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First Published: Oct 17 2013 | 4:42 PM IST

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