Around a week ago, the domestic gold price hit its all-time high of Rs 34,450 per 10 gm. Though it corrected by around a percentage point on Monday, returns from gold have improved in 2019. In the past month, the domestic gold price was up 4.8 per cent and 6 per cent in the past three months.
And with the government offering the sovereign gold bond (SGB) for subscription at Rs 3,196 a gm last month, those who invested in the issue would be sitting on a 5 per cent notional gain as of Monday. But if you missed the rally and the SGB issue, you can still buy the yellow metal at a discounted price on the stock exchanges, where the previous SGBs are available at a discount of 3.4-8.2 per cent to the prevailing gold price of Rs 3,353.8 a gm. “The previous tranches of gold bonds are selling at a discount on the exchanges because there is a liquidity problem. A seller cannot get the prevailing market price due to the longer lock-in period, and hence has to lower it,” says Kishore Narne, head, commodities and currencies, Motilal Oswal Financial Services.
Avoid taking arbitrage opportunities in the listed bonds. Investors need to understand if they buy these bonds at a discount, they will also need to sell them at a discount to the prevailing price of gold. The secondary market for SGBs is not vibrant. There are limited trades, due to which an investor has to take a hit if he wants to offload them. Another reason for the discount is the tenure of these bonds.
“Buy these bonds in the secondary market only if you want to hold them till maturity. Only then will you be able to realise profits,” says Jayant Manglik, president, Retail Distribution, Religare Broking. According to Manglik, in the past 30 years, gold has offered about 6 per cent returns. If the investor remains invested through the tenure of the bonds, he would make similar returns over the long term in addition to 2.5 per cent annual interest that the government pays.