Iran-Saudi crisis punches another hole in OPEC unity

The group has struggled with crude values that have tumbled some 60 per cent since mid-2014

Image via Shutterstock
<a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/pic-182916398.html" target="_blank">Image</a> via Shutterstock
AFPPTI Paris
Last Updated : Jan 06 2016 | 1:06 PM IST
Escalating diplomatic tensions between Iran and Saudi Arabia have added fresh strains on OPEC's unity as the cartel grapples with a common response to rock-bottom oil prices, experts said.

While it produces a third of the world's oil, the group has struggled with crude values that have tumbled some 60 percent since mid-2014, falling below $40 (37 euros).

Crafting a new way forward has become yet tougher since Saudi Arabia executed prominent Shiite cleric Nimr al-Nimr at the weekend, triggering a sectarian standoff with Iran.

Also Read

"What's happening at the moment between Iran and Saudi Arabia makes searching for a compromise even more difficult," said Francis Perrin, president of Strategy and Energy Policy publications.

Gulf countries, led by top OPEC producer Saudi Arabia, refuse to cut production unless the oil-producing states that are not members of group agree to do the same. A cut would likely help prices climb.

Though the Saudis have thus far had their way, this unbending stance has been financially painful for the 13 OPEC nations, including Algeria, Venezuela and Nigeria, which draw most of their revenues from black gold.

For its part, Iran, the other pillar of OPEC, has no intention of curbing its production with the lifting of Western sanctions just on the horizon, which would allow it to resume crude oil exports.

"OPEC has no policy at the moment as it's everyone for themselves," said Ole Hansen, a Saxo Bank analyst.

"In the short term, there is no chance of an agreement within OPEC regarding production, and assuming there was some small chance, it has disappeared with the current crisis in relations between Saudi Arabia and Iran," said Pierre Terzian, head of the Petrostrategies weekly.

In addition to their political and religious rivalries, the two Middle Eastern powerhouses are also clashing over their share of the oil market.

From Iran's perspective, "it would be fair" for other OPEC members, including Saudi Arabia, to "cut their production in 2016 to make some room (for Iran) without pushing prices down further," said Perrin.

However, in Riyadh "additional revenue means Iran will have a greater capacity to be a nuisance," in the region, Perrin added.

On top of that the kingdom, which has been overtaken in production by the United States, has not given a second's thought to cutting its output.

At the end of December Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi said "we no longer limit production. If there is demand, we will respond. We have the capacity to respond to demand", according to the Wall Street Journal.
*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jan 06 2016 | 11:57 AM IST

Next Story