Retail credit growth accelerated to 19.9 per cent in 2015-16 as against 14.8 per cent in the year-ago period, it said.
"ICRA expects NBFC retail credit to grow by 19-22 per cent, buoyed by improving prospects of the CV segment, gold loan and passenger vehicle segments," its Co-Head for financial sector ratings Karthik Srinivasan said.
He said segments such as microfinance and mortgage are likely to exhibit healthy double digit growth, while tractors and construction equipments could register modest revival in the latter part of the year.
NBFCs' niche positioning, differentiated product offering, good market knowledge and large customer outreach would help them fight competitive pressures, it said.
On the capitalisation front, Icra said the ratio of net worth to managed assets for retail-focussed NBFCs stood at 15.4 per cent as on March 31, 2016.
After accounting for the credit growth and assuming a dip in internal accruals to 10 per cent, the ratio will still be over 15 per cent by the end of the next fiscal.
The growth was led largely by the affordable housing sector, which grew at a faster clip of 28 per cent, it said.
Given this performance, the HFCs alone will require external capital of Rs 186-286 billion in the next three years, which is between 30 and 50 per cent of the existing net worth, it said.
On the asset quality front, Icra said the 90+ day delinquencies moderated to 5.4 per cent as of March 2016 as compared to 5.7-5.8 per cent in the previous 2-3 quarters.
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