Separatists to dominate Scotland in UK election: poll

Image
AFP London
Last Updated : Dec 27 2014 | 5:55 PM IST
The pro-independence Scottish National Party is set to dominate Scotland in the United Kingdom general election in May, according to a poll out today, potentially giving it the balance of power.
The ICM poll in The Guardian newspaper put the SNP, which wants Scotland to leave the UK, on 43 per cent, which, if reflected at the ballot box, could leave the left-wing party as kingmakers in the London parliament.
It could also severely dent the centre-left opposition Labour Party's hopes of overtaking Prime Minister David Cameron's Conservatives and returning to power in the May general election.
The online poll of 1,004 adults put the SNP on 43 per cent (up from 20 per cent in the 2010 general election) in Scotland, with Labour on 26 per cent (down 16 per cent).
Cameron's centre-right Tories were on 13 per cent (down four), with their centrist Liberal Democrat coalition partners on six per cent (down 13).
The SNP's membership has more than tripled to 90,000 since the September 18 referendum on Scottish independence, when 55 per cent of Scots voted to remain part of the UK.
"We are prospectively looking at the collapse of citadels that have always been Labour since the 1920s," said Professor John Curtice of Strathclyde University.
"It is becoming clear that the independence referendum has reset all the dials," the electoral behaviour expert told The Guardian, calling it "the political transformation of a nation".
The SNP won six of Scotland's 59 seats in the 650-member British parliament at the last general election in 2010, while Labour won 41.
The ICM poll would give the SNP 45 seats and Labour 10, on a uniform swing.
Scotland is set to get sweeping new powers, including setting its own income tax rates, under plans unveiled last month by a cross-party commission on greater devolution set up after the referendum.
"More and more people are putting their trust in the SNP to stand up for Scotland's interests, and ensure that Westminster delivers the powers needed," said Angus Robertson, the SNP's general election campaign director.
Jenny Marra, Labour's health spokeswoman in Scotland, said: "We can send SNP MPs to the House of Commons to protest against the Tories, or we can send Scottish Labour MPs to replace the Tories.
*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Dec 27 2014 | 5:55 PM IST

Next Story