Bonds rise, oil falls as economic gloom persists

Image
Reuters LONDON
Last Updated : Oct 15 2014 | 2:15 PM IST

By Lionel Laurent

LONDON (Reuters) - Persistent fears over the health of the global economic recovery kept bond yields and oil prices falling on Wednesday, even as shares broadly stabilised after days of steep losses.

Market volatility has surged in recent weeks as investors weigh the timing of expected interest rate increases, especially in the United States, against disappointing macroeconomic signals such as a worse-than-expected inflation reading from China.

The MSCI All-Country World index was trading broadly flat at 0740 GMT, having fallen some 8 percent since the end of August.

There were pockets of choppiness in Europe, with Britain's FTSE 100 benchmark stock index down more than 1.2 percent, dragged lower by a 26 percent fall in the share price of drug company Shire after U.S. rival and suitor AbbVie warned it could reconsider plans to buy Shire.

Safe-haven government bonds across the euro zone performed better, with German bund yields hitting a record low as investors sought refuge from signs of cooling economic demand.

"With deflation worries still very much at the fore of the euro area and the pressure on the ECB to take further action in coming months, bunds will remain underpinned in the near term," said Nick Stamenkovic, bond strategist at RIA Capital Markets.

Worries over the economic recovery also kept commodities under pressure: Brent crude futures fell to a new four-year low of $83.95 per barrel and U.S. crude oil fell to $80.60 per barrel, stoking fears of further falls in inflation.

"The sharp decline in the price of crude oil is serving to increase downside risks to inflation in the near-term," said Lee Hardman, currency analyst at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ.

The oil price fall also spread to currency markets, where the U.S. dollar hit a five-year high against the Canadian dollar and held firm near a 11-month peak against sterling on Wednesday with investors resuming bullish bets after a recent sell-off and staying away from currencies grappling with slowing inflation.

"Clearly the correlation between oil and commodity prices on the Canadian dollar is playing out. The more oil prices fall, the more dollar/CAD will rise," said Jeremy Stretch, head of currency strategy, CIBC World Markets.

(Reporting by Lionel Laurent; Additional reporting by Jamie McGeever, Anirban Nag, Marc Jones and Marius Zaharia; Editing by Toby Chopra)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Oct 15 2014 | 2:04 PM IST

Next Story