Dollar sags on poor U.S. data; Aussie, Loonie fall on oil

Image
Reuters NEW YORK
Last Updated : Jan 16 2016 | 2:28 AM IST

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar tumbled to a near five-month low against the yen and a 2-1/2-week trough versus the euro on Friday, hammered by a combination of poor risk appetite arising from a renewed drop in oil prices and weak U.S. economic data.

The downbeat economic numbers along with the meltdown in oil and stocks could further slow the pace of the Federal Reserve's already gradual tightening policy, a negative scenario for the dollar.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six other major currencies, was down 0.2 percent at 98.933.

"I think the Fed is going to be reluctant to raise interest rates any time soon," said Joe O'Leary, senior FX trader at Silicon Valley Bank in Santa Clara, California.

"There's just too much uncertainty going on. We also have weak U.S. data, and equity markets getting clobbered. This will all affect U.S. growth."

Data showed on Friday that U.S. retail sales fell in December as unseasonably warm weather curbed purchases of winter apparel and cheaper gasoline weighed on receipts at service stations. U.S. producer prices were also lower last month due to weak energy costs, while the country's industrial output declined for a third straight month.

Following the poor U.S. economic data, the interest rate futures market has now priced in just one additional rate move by the Federal Reserve this year, compared with expectations of three hikes.

Commodity-based currencies such as the Australian, New Zealand and Canadian dollars also took a nosedive on the back of another slide in Chinese stock markets following an almost 5 percent tumble in oil prices to less than $30 per barrel.

In late trading, the dollar fell to 116.51 yen, the lowest since Aug. 24. It was last at 117.02 yen, down 0.9 percent.

The euro rose to $1.0984, its highest since Dec. 29, and was last at $1.0913, up 0.5 percent.

The Aussie sank to US$0.6824 versus the greenback, the lowest since April 2009, while the New Zealand dollar fell to a 3-1/2-month trough of US$0.6382.

The Canadian dollar, meanwhile, dropped to a fresh 12-year low against the U.S. dollar. The greenback was last up 1.2 percent at C$1.4534

Richard Benson, co-head of portfolio management at currency fund Millennium Global, said the Canadian dollar, down by a third in value against its U.S. counterpart since 2012, was suffering from bets on more easing of monetary policy next week.

(Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Additional reporting by Patrick Graham in London; Editing by James Dalgleish and Sandra Maler)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jan 16 2016 | 2:10 AM IST

Next Story