Gold near 3-week high on lower equities; China demand robust

Image
Reuters LONDON
Last Updated : Jan 06 2014 | 5:16 PM IST

By Clara Denina

LONDON (Reuters) - Gold edged up for a fifth day to its highest level in nearly three weeks on Monday, as a flat dollar and softer equity markets prompted investors to tap the asset's safe-haven qualities, while robust Asian demand also lent some support.

The metal's 2.7 percent rally since the start of the year follows a 28 percent loss in 2014, its worst annual performance since 1982.

But analysts remained cautious on the current price movements and pointed to a possible retreat throughout a week filled with macroeconomic events.

"We had a bit of a bounce from the lows below $1,200 as a lot of shorts cover positions and some physical bargain hunting out of Asia emerges," Societe Generale analyst Robin Bhar said.

"This week is important, we have the Fed minutes on Wednesday and then the non-farm payrolls on Friday," he added. "Both those should continue to highlight strengthening U.S. economy and push up real yields and the dollar."

Spot gold rose to a near three-week peak of $1,245.86 an ounce in earlier trade and was up 0.2 percent to $1,238.10 an ounce by 1109 GMT.

U.S. gold futures for February delivery fell 0.1 percent to $1,237.40 an ounce.

U.S. nonfarm payrolls and trade numbers expected on Friday will provide clues on the strength of the economic recovery, while the minutes of the December Fed policy meeting - at which the central bank decided to cut back bond purchases - may hint at how aggressive the Fed will be with tapering.

Ben Bernanke, who steps down as head of the Fed at the end of January, on Friday gave an upbeat assessment of the U.S. economy in coming quarters, though he did temper the good news in housing, finance and fiscal policies by repeating that the overall recovery "clearly remains incomplete".

In what could be his last speech as Fed chairman, Bernanke also said the U.S. central bank was no less committed to highly accommodative policy now that it has trimmed its bond-buying stimulus.

Concerns over a slowdown in China's economy after growth in its services sector slowed sharply in December to its lowest point since August 2011, triggered a third day of falls for world shares.

The dollar was down 0.1 percent versus a basket of main currencies.

A weaker U.S. currency makes dollar-denominated assets like gold cheaper for foreign investors.

PHYSICAL DEMAND

The upswing in prices failed to dent physical purchases in China, the world's biggest bullion consumer, where demand has picked up ahead of the Lunar New Year and trading volumes on the Shanghai Gold Exchange hit an eight-month high on Monday.

Premiums on the Shanghai Gold Exchange - a physical trading platform - climbed to about $20 an ounce to the London spot price from Friday's $17.

For the 99.99 percent purity gold, volumes traded on the exchange were 24.86 tonnes on Monday - the highest daily volume since May 3.

Silver fell 0.4 percent to $20.02 an ounce, having earlier risen to a four-week high of $20.33. The metal dropped 36 percent in 2013, its worst annual performance since at least 1982.

Spot platinum was down 0.9 percent at $1,396.51 an ounce, while palladium was unchanged at $724.50 an ounce.

(Additional reporting by A. Ananthalakshmi in Singapore; editing by Keiron Henderson)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jan 06 2014 | 5:05 PM IST

Next Story