Tech outflows biggest since 2015; investors pile into safer sectors - BAML

Image
Reuters
Last Updated : Nov 22 2018 | 5:15 PM IST

By Sujata Rao and Helen Reid

(Reuters) - Redemptions from technology stocks totalled $1.5 billion in the past week, the biggest since February 2015, Bank of America Merrill Lynch said on Thursday, citing data from EPFR Global.

The outflows from funds dedicated to tech shares came as a rout on Wall Street earlier this week wiped $1 trillion off the value of leading tech firms.

Total equity redemptions were just $900 million, as the biggest moves happened under the surface. Investors pulled out of sectors highly sensitive to the cycle and favoured safer high-dividend and stable-earning "defensive" sectors.

"Broader flow story is rotation... not massive redemptions," the strategists wrote. "Defensive yes, but panicked no."

Investors have ploughed $8 billion into defensive sectors (excluding real estate investment trusts) and pulled $14 billion out of cyclicals over the past eight weeks, they noted.

The strategists said they remain sellers of equities because institutional positioning is not bearish enough yet to signal a market bottom.

The bank's "Bull & Bear" indicator of market sentiment remained at last week's level of 2.8. It would have to fall to 2 to constitute a "buy" signal, BAML said.

"We see no positioning or policy capitulation yet; institutional positioning not bearish enough to signal Big Low," the strategists wrote.

"BIG POLICY PANIC"

The triggers for a panic over monetary tightening are forming, BAML wrote, predicting the U.S. Federal Reserve could be stopped in its tracks in the next three months by further falls in the S&P 500 and high-yield bonds.

Fed tightening cycles usually end with a "financial event", they warned, pointing to previous crises such as the 2000 tech bubble and the subprime crisis of 2007.

(Reporting by Sujata Rao and Helen Reid; editing by Larry King)

Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Nov 22 2018 | 5:07 PM IST

Next Story