U.S. crude oil dips below $42 on high U.S. stocks, Asia economy worries

Goldman Sachs said that a weaker Chinese yuan was putting more downward pressure on commodity markets

<a href="http://www.shutterstock.com/pic-233498950.html" target="_blank">Image</a> via Shutterstock
Reuters Singapore
Last Updated : Aug 18 2015 | 12:31 PM IST

U.S crude oil prices fell below $42 a barrel on Friday to prices not seen since March 2009 as rising U.S. stockpiles added to concerns about oversupply and a demand slump due to slowing economies in Asia.

Oil prices initially rose in early Asian trade following a sharp and sudden fall below $42, but dipped back under that level to trade nearly a third below their 2015-highs in May.

Prices already tumbled more than 3 percent on Thursday as data showing a big rise in key U.S. stockpiles intensified concerns over a growing global glut.

U.S crude was trading down 27 cents from its last settlement at $41.96 a barrel at 0423 GMT. Brent futures were trading at $49.23 barrel, virtually flat and still some way off from their 2015-low of $45.19.

Goldman Sachs said that a weaker Chinese yuan was putting more downward pressure on commodity markets.

"The CNY (yuan) devaluation has been important for commodity markets and we believe it signals that global macro conditions have changed," Goldman Sachs said in a note to clients.

"Even China has now joined the negative feedback loop that is running between commodity deflation, growth and deleveraging trends... (and) we believe the net commodity market effects are bearish," it added.

Analysts said that prices could fall further.

"The lowest crude prices in six years might not be enough to put the brakes on the U.S. supply growth. U.S shale players are actively cutting cost and some players are profitable at less than $30 per barrel," ANZ Bank said.

On the demand side, China's crude oil imports have so far remained strong as authorities take advantage of low prices to build up strategic reserves and consumers kept spending despite the slowing economy.

Yet there are signs of weakening, with the devaluation of the yuan potentially denting fuel imports.

China's implied oil demand fell in July from the previous month amid a continuing drop in the nation's vehicle.

And China's slump may be spreading across Asia. Japan's economy likely shrank in April-June as exports slumped and consumers cut back on spending, a Reuters poll showed.

China's economic slowdown and its impact on its trade-reliant Asian neighbours have also heightened the chance that any rebound in growth in July-September will be modest, analysts said.

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Aug 14 2015 | 10:15 AM IST

Next Story