US demand surges as banks move gold from Asia to benefit from premium

But alarm about U.S. import tariffs planned by President Donald Trump has driven Comex futures prices substantially above spot prices in recent months, creating a lucrative arbitrage opportunity

Gold
File Image: Gold
Reuters MUMBAI
2 min read Last Updated : Feb 03 2025 | 11:55 PM IST

Global bullion banks are flying gold into the United States from trading hubs catering to Asian consumers, including Dubai and Hong Kong, to capitalize on the unusually high premium that US gold futures are enjoying over spot prices.

Traditionally, bullion banks transport gold eastward from the West to meet demand from China and India, the world's two largest consumers, accounting for almost half of global consumption.

But alarm about US import tariffs planned by President Donald Trump has driven Comex futures prices substantially above spot prices in recent months, creating a lucrative arbitrage opportunity.

"Gold prices are skyrocketing, and in Asia, demand has pretty much disappeared," said a Singapore-based bullion dealer with a leading bullion supplying bank. Spot gold prices hit a record high on Monday. [GOL/]

"Meanwhile, a sweet opportunity has popped up in the US, and naturally, almost every bank is jumping on it - moving gold over for Comex delivery to cash in on the arbitrage," he said.

COMEX gold inventories have shot up almost 80% since late November, or 13.8 million troy ounces worth more than $38 billion at current prices, with supplies coming from London, Switzerland and now Asia-focused hubs.

The premium on Comex futures over spot prices widened again to about $40 on Monday, compared with discounts as high as $15 in India and a discount of around $1 in China.

The cost of moving gold from Asian hubs to the US is fractional when compared with prevailing Comex premiums, said a Mumbai-based bullion dealer.

A leading bullion bank even moved gold stored in a customs-free zone in India to the US last week, he said.

In normal situations, many banks bring gold into India and keep it in customs-free zones, clearing consignments by paying import taxes only after realizing demand. They can move the cargo back overseas without paying taxes.

As retail demand in Asian markets was muted by high prices, bullion banks were even sourcing gold from refiners in Dubai, which usually serve as a major India-supplying hub, to cater their demand in the U.S, said a Dubai-based bullion dealer.

"The US is like a gold magnet right now, pulling in gold from all over the world," he said.

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

Topics :Bullion industryGold PricesAsian marketsGold demand

First Published: Feb 03 2025 | 11:55 PM IST

Next Story