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Domestic credit ratings agency Crisil on Wednesday said the unrest in Iran has not had any impact on Indian companies so far. However, if the tensions persist or escalate, leading to rise in crude prices, companies in oil refining, aviation and crude-linked sectors like specialty chemicals, paints, petrochemicals and synthetic textiles may be impacted, it said. "The ongoing unrest in Iran has not had any significant impact on India Inc's global trade, or the credit profiles of domestic corporates thus far," it said. Pointing out that Iran accounts for over 4 per cent of the global crude oil supply, the agency said any escalation that disrupts its production could spike prices and the same should be watched closely by a country like India that is dependent on imported crude. "While India's direct dependence on Iran for crude-linked products is low, any sharp rise in crude oil prices will have a cascading impact on sectors such as oil refining, aviation, specialty chemicals, paints,
The domestic cigarette industry is bracing for a 6-8 per cent volume contraction in the next fiscal, following the imposition of additional excise duties and an increase in GST rates from February 1, Crisil Ratings said on Wednesday. Currently, cigarettes are charged 28 per cent goods and services tax (GST), along with a varied compensation cess. From February 1, the compensation cess component will be removed, and an additional excise duty (ranging from Rs 2.05 to Rs 8.5 per stick) will be levied, based on the length of the cigarettes. Crisil said mid to premium cigarettes (more than 65 mm length) will be levied excise duty of Rs 3.6-8.5 per stick, while cigarettes in the mass segment (less than 65 mm length) will be levied Rs 2.05 - 2.1 per stick. Additionally, the GST applicable on the final price will increase to 40 per cent. Though the duty hikes are lower in the mass segment (accounting for 40-45 per cent of the volumes), the players are expected to partially absorb the same
Crisil Ratings on Tuesday said that recent developments in Venezuela are not likely to have any material near-term impact on crude oil prices, as the Latin American nation had a relatively small share of global supply. A US military operation in early January resulted in the capture of President Nicolas Maduro on drug-related charges, triggering uncertainty in the country, which holds some of the world's largest proven crude reserves. Crisil Ratings, in a note, said even if the situation escalates and disrupts crude oil production in Venezuela, the impact on global oil prices would likely be limited, as the country accounts for only about 1.5 per cent of global crude supply. Brent crude prices have remained largely stable in recent days, hovering just above USD 60 a barrel. For India, the developments in Venezuela are unlikely to have any material impact on its global trade or the credit quality of Indian companies. India's direct trade exposure to Venezuela is minimal, it ...
A cohesive national and state-level regulatory framework that gives investors long-term confidence is essential for the country to meet its non-fossil goals, according to a CRISIL expert. The government has an ambitious target of having 500 GW non-fossil fuel-based power generation capacity by 2030. Non-fossil fuel capacities include sources like solar, wind, biomass, waste-to-energy, hydro projects etc. "Achieving India's 500 GW non-fossil target will require a cohesive national and state-level regulatory framework that gives investors long-term confidence," a statement issued by FICCI said, quoting Ashish Mittal, Director, Energy & Commodities, CRISIL. Cap-and-floor mechanisms, viability gap funding and storage-as-a-service models will be critical to de-risk investments and unlock private capital at the scale India now needs, he said at FICCI's India Power and Energy Storage Conference on Wednesday. On energy storage, Ashok Sharma, the Deputy Managing Director, State Bank of .
Crisil has raised its forecast for the country's GDP growth to 7 per cent from 6.5 per cent for the current financial year, following the first-half growth of 8 per cent that exceeded expectations. Chief economist of Crisil, Dharmakriti Joshi, said that India's real GDP growth stood at 8.2 per cent in the second quarter, exceeding expectations. However, due to easing inflation, the nominal GDP growth was modest at 8.7 per cent. The first half growth of eight per cent and an expected slowdown to 6.1 per cent in the second half owing to the impact of higher US tariffs, Joshi said. According to Crisil, private consumption was the main driver of higher real GDP growth. From the supply side, growth in manufacturing and services saw a significant rise. Joshi said lower food inflation stoked discretionary spending in the country. Joshi said that the third quarter is expected to continue benefiting from these tailwinds. While government investment will stabilise likely, there could be a .
Capital outlay of states is expected to grow from four per cent to six per cent in the current financial year touching approximately Rs 7.5 lakh crore, Crisil Ratings said in its report on Friday. This would be lower than seven per cent in the last financial year and well below the decadal average of 11 per cent as rising revenue deficits are limiting financial flexibility, the report said. Water supply and sanitation, including housing and urban development and irrigation, will continue to be the main drivers of the capital expenditure, the report said. The top 18 states will account for 94 per cent of capital outlay of the states. According to the report, rising revenue deficit of the states are due to slow pace of growth due to moderation in GST rates post rationalisation, slowing devolution from the Centre and lower nominal GDP growth driven by easing inflation. On the other hand, revenue expenditure is set to grow sharply by seven per cent to nine per cent, driven by committe
India's merchandise exports fell 11.8 per cent year-on-year, since August 2024, to USD 34.38 billion in October, Crisil said in its report. This follows a 50 per cent increase in US tariffs on August 27 this year, a move that has subdued exports for the second month in a row, the report said. The decline in exports was broad-based across petroleum products, gems and jewellery and core sectors. Petroleum products exports declined 10.4 per cent year-on-year in October, compared to a growth of 15.1 per cent in September. Similarly, core exports slipped to 10.2 per cent compared to 6.1 per cent growth in September 2025, the report said. Merchandise exports to US decreased 8.6 per cent year-on-year to USD 6.3 billion in October. This was an improvement from the 11.9 per cent decline in September, according to the report. The announcement by the US on November 16 to cut tariffs on 254 food items bodes well for some of the agricultural exports, such as tea and spices, the report ...
Crisil Ratings said post the rationalisation of GST on commercial vehicles, acquisition of new fleet by the operators would decline substantially. It said in a statement on Monday that GST on commercial vehicles has been reduced to 18 per cent from 28 per cent. "This will bring down the acquisition cost of fleet operators," it said. Domestic commercial fleet operators are expected to clock a revenue growth of eight per cent to ten per cent this financial year, according to the statement. Strong domestic demand and import-related fleet requirements will drive growth. Higher revenues and stable margins will result in improved cash flows, which will partially fund the incremental working capital requirement, the statement said. Dependence on external short-term debt will be limited, and operators will undertake additions to their fleets funded by long-term loans. Increased fleet utilisation will ensure operating margins to remain stable between eight per cent to 8.5 per cent, accordi
High tariffs imposed by the United States on Indian goods pose a major risk to the country's growth, Crisil Intelligence said in its September report. The tariffs will impact both Indian goods exports and investments, the report added. However, domestic consumption, driven by benign inflation and rate cuts, is expected to support growth, it said. The country's GDP rose to a five-quarter high of 7.8 per cent in the first quarter of fiscal 2025-26, up from 7.4 per cent in the similar quarter in the previous year. Nominal GDP growth, however, slowed to 8.8 per cent from 10.8 per cent during the same period, it added. The report said consumer price index (CPI) inflation is likely to soften to 3.5 per cent in the current fiscal from 4.6 per cent in the previous year. Healthy agricultural growth is expected to keep food inflation under check, though the impact of excess rain was yet to be fully assessed. Lower crude prices and benign global commodity prices are expected to contain non