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India's GDP growth may slip to around 6 per cent and retail inflation could rise to RBI's upper tolerance band of 6 per cent in the current fiscal, if the Indian crude basket price averages USD 120 a barrel, EY India said on Wednesday. EY India Chief Policy Advisor DK Srivastava said, although room for policy interventions is limited, policymakers need to consider upward revision in the repo rate and accelerated diversification of sources of crude supply as the price of the Indian crude basket (ICB) may rise further if the West Asian crisis persists. "If the ICB price averages USD 120 per barrel in FY27, India's real GDP growth may slip to about 6 per cent and CPI inflation may increase to 6 per cent... To minimise the adverse impact on fiscal deficit, increased energy prices should be passed on to the retailers to a relatively larger extent," Srivastava said. The April 2026 release of the US Energy Information Administration EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent crude oil ..
The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) on Thursday projected India's GDP to grow at 7.6 per cent in the current fiscal and 6.1 per cent in 2026-27. The OECD in its interim Economic Outlook report said the evolving conflict in the Middle East has "human and economic costs" for the countries directly involved, and will test the resilience of the global economy. A halt in shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and the closure or damage of energy infrastructure has generated a surge in energy prices and disrupted the global supply of energy and other important commodities, such as fertilisers. "The decline in (US) tariffs should support growth in India, though gas rationing will disrupt some production activities and fiscal support is expected to fade, with growth easing from 7.6 per cent in fiscal year (FY) 2025-26 to 6.1 per cent in FY 2026-27 and 6.4 per cent in FY 2027-28," the OECD said. The fading deflationary impact of past food and energy price-reducin
The fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP for three financial years till 2024-25 has been revised upwards following the revision in base year for calculation of GDP, the government informed Parliament on Tuesday. As per the new GDP Series published on February 27, the fiscal deficit as a percentage of GDP works out to be 4.9 per cent for 2024-25, 5.7 per cent for 2023-24, and 6.7 per cent for 2022-23, Minister of State for Finance Pankaj Chaudhary said in a written reply in the Rajya Sabha. The fiscal deficit was earlier estimated at 4.8 per cent for FY'25, 5.63 per cent for FY'24 and 6.4 per cent for FY'23. In absolute term, fiscal deficit stood at Rs 15.74 lakh crore in FY'25, Rs 16.55 lakh crore in FY'24 and Rs 17.38 lakh crore in FY'23. On February 27, 2026, the government released the new series of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) estimates with 2022-23 as the base year, replacing the previous series with a base year of 201112. With the new 2022-23 base, the Nominal GDP or GDP at
Maharashtra's economy is expected to grow at 7.9 per cent in 2025-26, slightly higher than the projected 7.4 per cent growth of the national economy, according to the government's pre-budget Economic Survey tabled in the state assembly on Thursday. The survey said the state's nominal Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) is estimated at Rs 51 lakh crore, while real GSDP at constant prices is projected at Rs 28.82 lakh crore in 2025-26. The services sector remains the biggest driver of the state economy, accounting for nearly 60 per cent of the total Gross State Value Added (GSVA). The sector is expected to grow around 9 per cent in 2025-26, led by financial, real estate and professional services, it said. The survey projected industry sector growth at 5.7 per cent and agriculture and allied activities at 3.4 per cent during the year. For 2024-25, the survey estimated the state's nominal GSDP at Rs 46.22 lakh crore, with real GSDP growth pegged at 7.3 per cent over the previous year.