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Global economic outlook grows murkier after Russian setback

As Ukraine escalation raises the risk to the world economy, it is time to hunker down for the rough ride ahead

Illustration: Binay Sinha
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Illustration: Binay Sinha

T T Ram Mohan
“We are at war”, says French President Emmanuel Macron.” German Chancellor Olaf Scholz sounds only a little less sombre. “We live in serious times… but we are prepared”. After more than six months of relatively low-intensity warfare in Ukraine, there is the prospect now of a substantial escalation on both the economic and military fronts. That bodes ill for the world economy. India’s policymakers need to brace for a rougher ride than thought until recently.

Russia has shut down the Nord Stream 1 gas pipeline that supplies gas to Europe. Last year, the pipeline provided an estimated 35 per cent of
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