One thing you can’t accuse Pakistan and its intelligence agency, the ISI, of being is unpredictable. They have been, on the contrary, entirely predictable over the past 45 years since they started using terrorism as a weapon against India.
First, let’s explain this strategy. Many descriptions have been used for it over time — proxy war, death by a thousand cuts, violent jihad, and more.
There is, however, one thread running through the ISI’s method: The use of Pakistani jihadi Lashkars or terror proxies from among Indian minorities to specifically target Hindus in India.
At some point, their calculation has
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