“The flurry of new launches, affordability, rise in the number of investors in Bangalore and softening of rates expected in CY 2013” could be triggers for the record sales, BofA-ML analyst Abhishek Kiran Gupta said in a note.
Bangalore saw new launches of 10,000 units in the March quarter, the third time since 2008 where it has seen such numbers, Gupta said.
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Prices in Mumbai city have grown at a CAGR of 14 per cent over the last 10 years. Gupta believes his trend is unsustainable and prices in Mumbai will have to correct and remain subdued over next two to three years. Today, the most affordable project within Mumbai city quotes at Rs 10,000 per sq ft which translates to Rs 1.5 crore for a two bed-room apartment. Further analysis shows, households with annual income Rs 35 lakh will be able to afford such an apartment, he said.
According to BofA-ML, absorption of homes has slowed in Gurgaon due to rising prices. Average prices in Gurgaon have risen 4.5 per cent in the March quarter. “We attribute this trend to lack of new launches by renowned developers; Gurgaon has lowest unsold inventory in the country and high speculative market. We believe this trend of relentless rise in prices could prove a dampener in the future," Gupta said.
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