Though the dues discoms owe power generation and transmission companies have reduced by 23 per cent since March 2020, the dues state governments owe discoms have only decreased by a mere 4 per cent.
States owed discoms Rs 1.13 trillion as of March 31 in subsidies and payment for power they buy for their departments. These dues peaked at Rs 1.32 trillion as of June 30, 2020, because of the impact of the moratorium on payments. In fact, dues were higher at the end of June than the Rs 1.13 trillion reported as of March 31, 2020.
The discom dues to generation and transmission utilities, including renewable energy companies, stood at Rs 1.48 trillion on March 31, 2021. It, too, had peaked to Rs 2.53 trillion on June 30, 2020.
On the operational front, the AT&C loss or power supply losses due to inefficient systems, stands at 24 per cent, according to the UDAY portal. This is similar to financial year 2014-15 (FY15) levels, when the first discom revival scheme, UDAY, was launched.
According to ICRA estimates, the gross debt level for state-owned discoms at an all-India level is likely to cross Rs 6 trillion in FY22 from an estimated Rs 5 trillion in FY21, significantly higher than the pre-UDAY level of Rs 4 trillion. This increase would be because of the loans availed under the liquidity package. The official data on discoms’ debt is yet to be made available.
“Such a high level of debt is unsustainable for the discoms,” ICRA said in its report.
The discoms received Rs 75,000 crore till March 2021. Total loan sanctions crossed Rs 1.3 trillion and the scheme has been closed. PFC and REC have cumulatively disbursed Rs 29,500 crore (Rs 14,900 crore by PFC and Rs 14,600 crore by REC) in the past two months.
According to ICICI Securities, the latest round of disbursements under the package have significantly helped to infuse liquidity into the value chain. This, however, may not ease the stress. Dues are estimated at Rs 1.48 trillion as of March 2021, higher than the loan amount disbursed.
The Union Budget also announced a revamped reform scheme for discoms, entailing Rs 3.05 trillion expenditure. The scheme would put the onus on the states to formulate their own action plans and funds would be disbursed accordingly. Unlike earlier schemes, the current one would not have a “one-size-fits-all” approach.
ICRA, in its commentary on the power sector in March, said the outlook remains “negative” for the state-owned distribution segment, given the continued weakness in the finances of most state-owned discoms.
“This is because of a mix of issues, including high levels of AT&C losses, inadequate tariffs in relation to their cost of supply and delays in receiving subsidy from the state governments. Discom finances have also been adversely impacted by the sharp decline in revenues from the commercial and industrial customers in Q1 FY21, because of lockdown restrictions. This, along with the lack of tariff revisions, is estimated to widen the revenue gap for discoms at the all-India level by Rs 30,000 crore in FY21,” ICRA said.
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