Without details of what future auctions from the oil reserve may be, traders and consultants were left guessing what Beijing’s next move will be. Amrita Sen, co-founder of consultant Energy Aspects, said that China had released between 20 and 30 million barrels over the summer, and any potential extra sale this year was unlikely to surpass the 10-to-15 million barrels range.
Beijing has had a mixed success using its strategic reserves to cap surging commodity prices. Although often the release, particularly when publicly confirmed, sends prices down sharply, the retreat tends to be short-lived.
“The move by China is no doubt designed to ease upward price pressures on rising oil import costs,” said Ryan Fitzmaurice, commodities strategist at Rabobank. “It is unlikely to have the desired effect, as we see it. For starters, it signals vulnerability to the financial oil market, and even more so it is not enough physical supply to move the dial.”