Nintendo slumps by the most since 1990

Image
Bloomberg
Last Updated : Jul 26 2016 | 1:04 AM IST
Nintendo shares plunged by the most since 1990 after the company said late on Friday that the financial impact from the worldwide hit Pokemon GO will be limited.

The stock sank 18 per cent to 23,220 yen at the close in Tokyo, the maximum one-day move allowed by the exchange, wiping out 708 billion yen ($6.7 billion) in market value. After debuting in the US earlier this month, Pokemon GO launched in Japan on Friday and became available in Hong Kong on Monday.

The correction comes after Pokemon GO's release almost doubled Nintendo's stock through Friday's close, adding $17.6 billion in market capitalisation. Nintendo is a shareholder in the game's developer Niantic and Pokemon, but has an "effective economic stake" of just 13 per cent in the app, according to an estimate by Macquarie Securities analyst David Gibson.

"It's still possible to say that in the short-term it's overheated," said Tomoaki Kawasaki, an analyst at Iwai Cosmo Securities. In a press release after the market closed on Friday in Japan, the Kyoto-based company said the game's financial impact will be "limited" and that it is not necessary to revise its annual forecast even after factoring in current conditions.

It also said revenue from Pokemon GO Plus, a Nintendo-produced accessory for the game expected to go on sale soon, has already been factored into the current guidance.

"The content of the announcement itself is not that shocking, but it is a surprise they said it on Friday instead of when they report earnings" later this week, said Nobuyuki Fujimoto, a senior market analyst at SBI Securities Co. "The game has been published in Japan, so for the time being we've exhausted all the catalysts."

The company will report first-quarter earnings on Wednesday after the market close, a period which ended before the release of Pokemon Go. The firm is forecasting an annual net profit of 35 billion yen in the current fiscal year, up from the 16.5 billion yen it earned last year.

Short interest in Nintendo surged earlier this month as bears bet the stock rally had gone too far. As of July 20, short-sellers had built up a bet worth $940 million -- or 2.6 percent of outstanding shares -- that the stock would fall, according to researcher IHS Markit. At current prices, such a bet would have generated about $140 million in profits.

Shares of related companies also fell. McDonald's Holdings Co. (Japan), the game's exclusive launch partner, declined 12 percent. Electronic parts maker Hosiden Corp., which Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. said may produce Pokemon Go Plus, sank 16 percent.

Besides the earnings announcement on Wednesday, Morgan Stanley said the next focus point is if Pokemon Go launches in China, where access to geographical data necessary for the game is restricted by the government. Investors are also waiting for announcements on Nintendo's other upcoming mobile games and its next-generation console expected to be released next year, analysts Mia Nagasaka and Yuki Maeda wrote in a July 22 report.

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Jul 26 2016 | 12:02 AM IST

Next Story