The overall Indian economic picture has been gloomy for the past several quarters. Discussions on whether the downturn in growth is cyclical or structural distracts attention from specific issues. Abstracting from wider concerns this article focusses on the need to raise long-term lending from current levels to get economic growth back on track. Public sector banks (PSBs) continue to be hesitant about providing project funding or even extending short-term credit to non-banking financial companies (NBFCs).
The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI’s) “Report on Trend & Progress of Banking in India 2018-19” dated December 24, 2019 mentions that “although the time limit for resolution under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) has been recently extended to 330 days, some cases are delayed beyond the limit partly reflecting repeated litigations”. According to the same RBI report “faster resolution of stressed assets remains key to the revival of the banking system” and credit growth for PSBs has been “well below that for private banks in the last few years”. Further, according to this RBI report, the gross stock of non-performing assets for PSBs, as of end September 2019, was about 12 per cent of total advances. This number needs to be well below 10 per cent for PSBs to raise long-term lending levels. For better oversight India should have just two well capitalised PSBs. However, that discussion can be left for another day.
The IBC is no longer in intensive care but it is still in hospital and needs close attention to return to robust health. This involves reducing interminable delays in CoCs coming up with an agreed framework for accepting write-downs on loans and the squabbling about the credentials of RPs. An examination of other cases, for example, Bhushan Power & Steel indicates that delays also arise because of perceived conflicts between IBC and earlier legislation, e.g. sequestering of assets pending investigations into wrongdoing under the Prevention of Money Laundering Act of 2002. As of December 2019, a total of about 1,500 IBC related cases are pending with CoCs, RPs and courts.