Economy to decelerate next year: Chinese Central Bank

Image
Press Trust of India Beijing
Last Updated : Dec 15 2014 | 6:35 PM IST
China's GDP growth will decelerate to 7.1 per cent next year, the central bank today said confirming the slowdown in the world's second-largest economy amid speculation that it would miss this year's official target of 7.4 per cent.
According to a working paper written by a group of economists of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), the country's GDP growth is expected to slow modestly next year.
The paper has put the the hey days of China's double digit growth behind.
"Real GDP growth will decelerate slightly to 7.1 per cent in 2015, reflecting partly the slowdown in real estate investment," it said.
China's GDP growth this year is estimated at 7.4 per cent, according to the group led by Ma Jun, chief economist of the PBOC's research bureau.
The paper has put the inflation next year at 2.2 per cent, slightly higher than this year's estimated 2.0 per cent, state-run Xinhua news agency reported.
It said the forecasts were made based on factors like GDP growth in developed economies picking up to 2.3 per cent in 2015, falling global commodity prices and a stable world trade environment, China keeping continuity and stability in its monetary and fiscal policy, and a lack of large fluctuations in China's property market.
The outlook by central bank came after a Central Economic Work Conference (CEWC) conducted by China's top leaders last week, admitting big "downward pressures" on the economy and announced reforms in nine areas to spur growth.
The meeting was held amid a string of weak economic data which stoked speculations that China may miss annual growth target.
The CEWC meet said China will accelerate reforms in nine areas next year, including capital market and market access for private banks.
As part of the reforms to arrest the economic slowdown. China has announced industrial parks in three more cities.
Last year, China launched the Shanghai pilot free trade zone.
It was the first FTZ after the Shenzhen SEZ launched 34 years ago which was considered to be a successful experiment to initiate new set of reforms.
The CEWC said China will continue targeted and structured control policies to maintain a medium and high-speed growth and will actively adapt to the economic "new normal" of slower speed but higher quality.
*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Dec 15 2014 | 6:35 PM IST

Next Story