"First and foremost this weekend's elections in Pakistan will hinge on voter turnout, which has been threatened by the Taliban and some other extremist groups," said Senior Advisor, Asia Society, Hassan Abbas yesterday.
"I think about 45 to 50 per cent voter turnout is expected. If there's higher turnout, the new political parties, especially Imran Khan's party, will have a good chance," he said.
"Second, I think the important thing is whether these elections will bring new leadership for Pakistan. And by that I mean whether the old elite, which is feudal and linked to corruption, incompetence, and poor governance, is voted out of power. If those elements get back into the game then that will be a bad sign," he said.
All three of these are linked to the fourth and very important point, which is whether the Pakistan security forces, including military and law enforcement will be out on the streets and at the polling booths providing a sense of security, he said.
"Their success and failure will define the future of democracy in Pakistan in so many ways," he added.
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