LONDON (Reuters) - Deutsche Bank now expects the U.S. Federal Reserve to hike rates three times next year, down from a previous forecast of four rate increases, the firm said in its 2019 outlook.
The U.S. central bank on Wednesday raised rates for the fourth time this year and stuck by a plan to keep withdrawing support from an economy it views as strong.
"We have revised our view on the Fed to now include a longer but slower pace of tightening," the bank said.
It now sees one rate hike in 2020, up from zero before and added that some rate cuts were likely in 2021 as economic growth slows.
"Inflation has also been stickier than we expected. But we still expect wages and prices to grind higher as economic slack is expended and the labour market tightens further," the note said.
Deutsche Bank said it expected the U.S. dollar, the best-performing major currency this year, to depreciate against most major currencies in 2019, with the exception of the Chinese yuan.
Deutsche forecast the Chinese currency to weaken five percent as policy and interest rates diverge further.
(Reporting by Dhara Ranasinghe; Editing Tom Finn)
Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content
You’ve reached your limit of {{free_limit}} free articles this month.
Subscribe now for unlimited access.
Already subscribed? Log in
Subscribe to read the full story →
Smart Quarterly
₹900
3 Months
₹300/Month
Smart Essential
₹2,700
1 Year
₹225/Month
Super Saver
₹3,900
2 Years
₹162/Month
Renews automatically, cancel anytime
Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans
Exclusive premium stories online
Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors


Complimentary Access to The New York Times
News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic
Business Standard Epaper
Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share


Curated Newsletters
Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox
Market Analysis & Investment Insights
In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor


Archives
Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997
Ad-free Reading
Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements


Seamless Access Across All Devices
Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app
