Oil dips on record U.S. inventories, but OPEC cuts lend some support

Image
Reuters SINGAPORE
Last Updated : Feb 16 2017 | 1:42 PM IST

By Henning Gloystein

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Oil dipped on Thursday as rising fuel inventories and crude production in the United States dragged on prices although ongoing supply cuts led by producer group OPEC prevented the market from slumping further.

Brent crude futures were trading at $55.69 per barrel at 0751 GMT, down 6 cents from their last close.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures dropped 10 cents to $53.01 per barrel.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and other producers including Russia have agreed to cut output by almost 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) during the first half of 2017, and estimates suggest compliance by OPEC is around 90 percent.

The production cuts are aimed at reining in a global fuel supply overhang that has dogged markets for over two years.

Despite this, inventories remain bloated and supplies high, especially in the United States.

U.S. crude oil and gasoline inventories soared to record highs last week as refineries cut output and gasoline demand softened, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.

Crude inventories rose 9.5 million barrels in the week ended Feb. 10, nearly three times more than analyst expectations, boosting commercial stocks to an all-time record at 518 million barrels.

Gasoline stocks rose 2.8 million barrels, compared with analyst expectations in a Reuters poll for a 752,000-barrel drop. That pushed inventories of the fuel to a record at 259 million barrels.

The bloated stocks come as U.S. crude oil production has risen 6.5 percent since mid-2016 to 8.98 million bpd.

Because of the conflicting price drivers of OPEC's cuts and rising U.S. inventories and production, analysts said that prices were largely moving sideways.

Both Brent and WTI crude futures have traded within a $5 per barrel price range since the start of the year.

"There's no doubt that the world oil market is very much in wait-and-see mode, which is why the price has remained in the mid-$50s per barrel range since mid-December," said Gavin Wendt, founding director and senior resource analyst at commodity research firm MineLife.

"The biggest factor is what might happen with U.S. shale production," he said, adding that rising shale output had the potential to damage oil price stability.

Wendt said oil would likely trade between $45 and $55 per barrel in 2017.

(Reporting by Henning Gloystein; Editing by Joseph Radford and Biju Dwarakanath)

Disclaimer: No Business Standard Journalist was involved in creation of this content

*Subscribe to Business Standard digital and get complimentary access to The New York Times

Smart Quarterly

₹900

3 Months

₹300/Month

SAVE 25%

Smart Essential

₹2,700

1 Year

₹225/Month

SAVE 46%
*Complimentary New York Times access for the 2nd year will be given after 12 months

Super Saver

₹3,900

2 Years

₹162/Month

Subscribe

Renews automatically, cancel anytime

Here’s what’s included in our digital subscription plans

Exclusive premium stories online

  • Over 30 premium stories daily, handpicked by our editors

Complimentary Access to The New York Times

  • News, Games, Cooking, Audio, Wirecutter & The Athletic

Business Standard Epaper

  • Digital replica of our daily newspaper — with options to read, save, and share

Curated Newsletters

  • Insights on markets, finance, politics, tech, and more delivered to your inbox

Market Analysis & Investment Insights

  • In-depth market analysis & insights with access to The Smart Investor

Archives

  • Repository of articles and publications dating back to 1997

Ad-free Reading

  • Uninterrupted reading experience with no advertisements

Seamless Access Across All Devices

  • Access Business Standard across devices — mobile, tablet, or PC, via web or app

More From This Section

First Published: Feb 16 2017 | 1:27 PM IST

Next Story