“India has limited upside taking significantly higher US volumes. US grades face both logistical disadvantages and compatibility challenges with Indian refining systems, which makes a material swing toward American crude oil unlikely,” said Sumit Ritolia, lead research analyst, refining & modelling, at Kpler.
Meanwhile, despite pressure from the West, Indian refiners continue to rely heavily on discounted Russian oil. India-bound Russian oil loadings were healthy at 1.5 million bpd in August and September, though a marginal dip from previous months. Crude oil loadings from Russia for Indian ports stood at 1.6 million bpd and 1.7 million bpd in June and July, respectively.