Money is fundamental to the functioning of an economy and trust is fundamental for it to work. National economies are powered by central bank-issued banknotes and commercial banks’ deposits in local currencies. Their failure has painful consequences. In 2018, Venezuela suffered hyperinflation of 100,000 per cent, rendering the Bolívar nearly worthless. Venezuelans turned to the United States (US) dollar and cryptocurrencies for payments. Historically, people have used alternative currencies when the sovereign currency has lost its value and trust. However, change is in the air.
The anonymous founders of Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalisation, intended to substitute the centralised model of money with decentralised cryptography. However, the volatility of crypto assets makes them ineffective as a medium of exchange and a stable store of value — roles that money is expected to play. Consequently, crypto assets have transitioned into a separate investment class.
To address volatility, private entities launched stablecoins around 2015. Tether and USD Coin are the two largest stablecoins in the cryptocurrency market. They are pegged to the US dollar with promised 1:1 convertibility. This makes them a reliable tool for cryptocurrency traders to store value without the volatility of other digital assets like Bitcoin or Ethereum. Tether is operated by Tether Limited, while USD Coin is managed by a consortium called Centre, which includes Circle and Coinbase.
By some estimates, there are 314 million stablecoin holders in India — the most in the world. The number indicates that stablecoins offer significant benefits over conventional digital payments in niche categories. Being pegged to the dollar, stablecoins are universally accepted and make a compelling use-case for cross-border remittances. Stablecoin remittances are instantaneous and much cheaper compared to the traditional remittance route offered by Indian banks.
As India hasn’t taken steps to regulate usage, stablecoins operate outside a legal framework and without any meaningful customer protection. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has taken steps to issue its digital currency. In 2022, RBI published a concept note on Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) and is running pilots before making it accessible to the public at large. CBDC is equivalent to a banknote and legal tender backed by sovereign guarantee but its form factor is digital.
The hyper growth in digital payments in recent times is fuelled by bank deposits. CBDC, issued by the RBI, on the other hand shall be the most trusted form of digital currency available to Indians. According to the concept note, it will also safeguard public interest from the proliferation of cryptocurrencies by providing a compelling choice for Indians to use programmable digital currency. While RBI has made it clear CBDC is not meant to bypass transactions processed by commercial banks or disrupt the country’s vibrant digital payment ecosystem, it remains to be seen what specific use cases it will be a solution for.
For stablecoins to gain trust and currency (pun intended) among users, they will have to build a strong foundation of trust. That will be a tall task without the Indian government legitimising them and creating a legal framework for their use. Irrespective of how things play out for stablecoins in terms of the government accepting their use, it is evident that without customer trust they will just be code and not currency.
The writers are Partner (financial services, risk advisory), and Senior Partner, Grant Thornton Bharat