WebinarsNew
Explore Business Standard
Bank credit grew 17.44 per cent year-on-year in May, marking the ninth consecutive month of double-digit expansion, reflecting sustained demand for loans from both retail and corporate borrowers, according to the latest Reserve Bank data. On May 15, credit growth was seen at 16.06 per cent, indicating a sharp pickup by month-end. Since January 31 this year, credit growth has stayed above 13 per cent and ranged between 14 and 17 per cent thereafter. The uptrend became more pronounced from September 2025 onward, when growth accelerated to 10.21 per cent and 10.29 per cent in successive fortnights, and remained firmly in double-digit territory thereafter. On September 3 last year, the GST Council approved a simplified two-tier tax structure of 5 per cent and 18 per cent, a move seen as improving compliance clarity and business sentiment. October and November consolidated the recovery, with lending growth moving past 11 per cent and hovering in the 11-11.4 per cent range, supported by
India's robust macroeconomic and financial sector fundamentals are likely to cushion the impact of a sustained oil price shock, though economic growth could slow by up to 80 basis points if crude averages USD 130 per barrel in 2026, according to S&P Global Ratings. Under its stress scenario, corporate earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBITDA) could decline 15-25 per cent in FY27, with leverage rising by 0.5x-1x, while banking sector asset quality may weaken, pushing bad loans to around 3.5 per cent. "India isn't immune to the shocks reverberating from the Middle East war. The pain of higher energy prices and supply disruptions may persist for months, crimping economic activity across households, corporations, and banks," S&P Global Ratings said in a report. However, strong corporate balance sheets, well-capitalised banks and a resilient external position provide buffers against the impact. S&P Global Ratings assumes Brent crude at USD 130 per ..