GDP Growth

Challenge lies in identifying new sources of growth to sustain an accelerated trajectory, says Poonam Gupta

Economic Survey 2025-26 underscores India's macro stability, reform-led growth, and fiscal discipline, while warning that weak state finances pose emerging risks

Economic Survey projections and Budget assumptions on GDP growth have often missed the mark, with actual growth diverging from estimates in several years

Tripling India's exports by 2035 needs tiger-like performance, open markets and ruthless reform-conditions history suggests India does not yet have

India's revamped quarterly GDP series will use GST, e-Vahan and gas consumption data, adopting IMF-recommended methods to improve accuracy and reduce volatility

Fiscal restraint and policy stability are key for a pivot from consumption to investment led growth

The IMF has reaffirmed India's position as the fastest-growing major economy, with its 2025-26 forecast revised to 7.3 per cent

The forthcoming Budget could think of maintaining public capital expenditure at 3% so that domestic resources are available for private investments

An RBI report places Assam as India's fastest-growing state over five years, driven by fiscal discipline, infrastructure spending and administrative reform rather than a low-base rebound

Despite headline GDP growth, weak private capex and rising public borrowing are creating a government-led model that keeps credit scarce, raises rates, and threatens India's long-term growth momentum

Economists expect the Union Budget to peg FY27 nominal GDP growth at 10-10.5%, aided by rising inflation and a low base, influencing debt and fiscal metrics

Valuations cap broad upside in 2026, with market returns increasingly driven by earnings growth in line with nominal GDP and selective stock-specific opportunities

India is likely to clock a GDP growth of 7.5-7.8 per cent in the current fiscal, supported by festive demand and robust services activity, and moderate to 6.6-6.9 per cent in FY27 on a high base and persistent global uncertainties, Deloitte India said on Wednesday. For India, 2025 will be remembered as the year of "resilience" in domestic demand, decisive reforms in fiscal, monetary and labour policies, and recalibrations in trade policies. Real GDP grew 8 per cent in the first half (April-September) of the ongoing 2025-26 fiscal despite global headwinds such as trade disruptions, policy shifts in advanced economies, and volatile capital flows. Deloitte India expects full year GDP growth at 7.5-7.8 per cent for FY2025-26, supported by festive demand and robust services activity. Furthermore, growth may moderate to 6.6-6.9 per cent in FY2026-27, reflecting a high base and persistent global uncertainties, it said in a statement. "India's resilience is no accident. It stems from ...

Assam has emerged as India's fastest-growing state economy over five years, but a low base, fiscal pressures and social challenges temper the headline growth story

Nominal growth expected at 8%, slowest since FY21; fiscal deficit target likely to be met

Stronger-than-expected FY26 growth gives India a rare Goldilocks moment, but sustaining the momentum in FY27 will hinge on policy coordination amid global uncertainty

In absolute terms at current prices, the economy is projected to attain the size of ₹357.14 trillion, which is marginally higher than the level assumed in the 2025-26 Budget

The First Advance Estimates provide the earliest projection of annual economic growth by the statistics ministry and forms the base for key FY27 Budget calculations

External demand is expected to fare better in FY27 than in FY26, aided by recently concluded trade agreements with the UK, New Zealand and Oman, and the prospect of a US trade deal later in the fiscal

India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) on Tuesday projected Indian economy to grow at 6.9 per cent in the 2026-27 fiscal year beginning April 1 saying key reforms like GST and income tax cuts, and trade pacts will act as economic catalyst and shield economy from global turbulence. The economy will continue to be in 'Goldilocks' situation of high growth and retail inflation averaging 3.8 per cent in the next fiscal as well, and Indo-US trade deal with reduced tariffs will add to the GDP growth numbers, said Ind-Ra, Chief Economist, Devendra Kumar Pant. For the current fiscal, Ind-Ra projected real GDP growth at 7.4 per cent, while nominal GDP expansion at 9 per cent. Ind-Ra expects the Indian Rupee to average 92.26 to a dollar in FY27, higher than 88.64 to a dollar in the current fiscal. The Union government's debt as a percentage of GDP is projected to come down to 55.5 per cent in FY27, from an estimated 56.3 per cent in the current fiscal. The government estimates to bring down debt