GDP Growth

RBI likely to hold repo rate at 5.25% through FY27: India Ratings

India Ratings projects GDP growth at 6.7% and inflation at 4.4%, warning that higher crude prices and West Asia tensions may pressure growth and trade deficit

Updated On: 19 May 2026 | 10:50 PM IST

Assam, UP and Meghalaya India's fastest-growing states, says study

Smaller and mid-sized states are emerging as India's fastest-growing economies, signalling a broader and more balanced growth story beyond traditional industrial hubs

Updated On: 19 May 2026 | 10:23 PM IST

Japan's economy expands at 2.1% annual pace, boosted by consumer spending

The Japanese economy grew at an annualised rate of 2.1% in the January-March quarter, the government said Tuesday, showing its resilience despite rising energy prices because of the war in Iran. Japan's real gross domestic product, or GDP, the sum value of a nation's goods and services, grew at a seasonally adjusted 0.5% from the previous quarter. It was the second straight quarter of growth. The annualised number shows what the growth, or contraction, would have been if the quarterly rate continued for a year. Increased spending by consumers and businesses helped contribute to the stronger than expected results. Higher government spending also supported the expansion. Private consumption rose 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, or at an annualised rate of 1.1%, according to the preliminary data from the Cabinet Office. Public demand rose 0.3% from the previous quarter. Japan's economy contracted in July-September last year, then eked out moderate growth in October-December of 0.2% on-quarter

Updated On: 19 May 2026 | 9:38 AM IST

Current account deficit to widen to 2.3% of GDP in FY27 from 0.9% in FY26

India's current account deficit is set to widen to 2.3 per cent of GDP in FY27 from 0.9 per cent in FY26, a foreign brokerage said on Monday. The balance of payments (BoP) deficit is estimated to widen to USD 65 billion in the current fiscal from the last fiscal year's USD 35 billion, it said. HSBC said it has assumed crude prices to average USD 95 a barrel, and combined it with sensitivities in oil, gold, core goods, services trade and remittances to arrive at a current account deficit of 2.3 per cent of GDP in FY27 as against 0.9 per cent in FY26. The BoP forecast has been made after growing through trends in portfolio inflows, FDI flows, and external commercial borrowing (ECBs), it said. The report also looked at forex reserves and opined that the nearly USD 700 billion kitty seems sufficient from the traditional perspective, but suggested the need to look at it from a dynamic perspective, better for the current times of heightened risks amid recurring global shocks. "Using a .

Updated On: 18 May 2026 | 5:24 PM IST

India's 2047 ambitions need large foreign capital inflows, deep reforms

India's 2047 aspirations require large foreign capital inflows and deep reforms to reverse the recent outflow

Updated On: 14 May 2026 | 10:17 PM IST

Morgan Stanley pegs India GDP growth at 6.7% in FY27

Sustained high oil prices, Morgan Stanley cautioned, could trigger non-linear and progressively larger impacts on growth, as the burden on households and firms intensifies over time.

Updated On: 13 May 2026 | 1:37 PM IST

West Asia crisis a 'live balance of payments stress test': CEA Nageswaran

OMCs losing ₹1K cr a day, says Puri; doesn't rule out fuel price hike

Updated On: 12 May 2026 | 11:31 PM IST

Crisil cuts India's FY27 GDP growth forecast to 6.6% on oil risk

Crisil has lowered India's FY27 growth forecast, warning that elevated crude oil prices and supply disruptions could hurt inflation, consumption and investments

Updated On: 11 May 2026 | 8:59 PM IST

US Q1 GDP growth rises 2% as Iran war clouds outlook, fuels inflation

Gross domestic product increased at a 2.0 per cent annualized rate last quarter, the Commerce Department's Bureau of Economic Analysis said in its advance GDP estimate on Thursday

Updated On: 30 Apr 2026 | 6:41 PM IST

GDP growth may slip to 6% if Indian crude averages $120/barrel in FY27: EY

India's GDP growth may slip to around 6 per cent and retail inflation could rise to RBI's upper tolerance band of 6 per cent in the current fiscal, if the Indian crude basket price averages USD 120 a barrel, EY India said on Wednesday. EY India Chief Policy Advisor DK Srivastava said, although room for policy interventions is limited, policymakers need to consider upward revision in the repo rate and accelerated diversification of sources of crude supply as the price of the Indian crude basket (ICB) may rise further if the West Asian crisis persists. "If the ICB price averages USD 120 per barrel in FY27, India's real GDP growth may slip to about 6 per cent and CPI inflation may increase to 6 per cent... To minimise the adverse impact on fiscal deficit, increased energy prices should be passed on to the retailers to a relatively larger extent," Srivastava said. The April 2026 release of the US Energy Information Administration EIA Short-Term Energy Outlook projects Brent crude oil ..

Updated On: 29 Apr 2026 | 2:19 PM IST

Domestic consumption sustaining growth momentum, says FM Sitharaman

Domestic consumption is sustaining the growth momentum in the economy, and predictable policy support is essential to ensure that the pace of GDP expansion continues, Union Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said on Friday. Speaking at an event organised by SBI here, Sitharaman also said that a committee of bankers is looking into the issue of whether to allow exclusive distribution tie-ups for selling third-party products by banks or adopt an open architecture approach. She also urged banks to focus on the physical contact with customers as they go global and digital. The minister further said that the disinvestment process of IDBI Bank will continue going ahead. "...consumption emerging out of its domestic market itself is able to sustain our growth, which is the fastest even now in the world," she said. The finance minister said that while it is necessary for the consumption for the growth process to continue, it is also pertinent to have predictable policies. "...unless our

Updated On: 24 Apr 2026 | 4:52 PM IST

India can sustain growth despite crude at $90-100 per barrel: Assocham

India can sustain economic growth despite crude prices in the $90-100 per barrel range, supported by strong consumption, infrastructure spending and macroeconomic resilience

Updated On: 22 Apr 2026 | 6:48 PM IST

UN cuts India's FY26 growth forecast to 6.4%, flags external risks

ESCAP report cites geopolitical tensions, inflation pressures and weak global demand as key risks, while projecting India's GDP growth at 6.4 per cent in 2026

Updated On: 21 Apr 2026 | 5:35 PM IST

Why India slipped to 6th spot in IMF GDP rankings despite strong growth

India slipped to sixth in IMF GDP rankings due to rupee depreciation and base revision, even as the economy continued strong growth and is expected to regain position soon

Updated On: 16 Apr 2026 | 4:49 PM IST

IMF lifts India FY27 growth to 6.5% as lower US tariffs offset risks

IMF has raised India's FY27 growth forecast to 6.5 per cent, saying lower US tariffs could offset the impact of West Asia tensions even as global growth and trade outlook weaken

Updated On: 14 Apr 2026 | 11:57 PM IST

Old narratives, new findings & future implications in revised GDP estimates

Limited fiscal room and weak household finances may keep real GDP growth subdued

Updated On: 14 Apr 2026 | 11:47 PM IST

ADB pegs India FY27 growth at 6.9% supported by reforms, trade deals

Multilateral lender predicts economic growth to rebound to 7.3% in FY28 driven by EU trade pact and a rise in government staff's income

Updated On: 10 Apr 2026 | 10:45 PM IST

World Bank raises India FY27 growth forecast to 6.6% amid headwinds

World Bank upgrades India's FY27 growth outlook to 6.6% on strong domestic demand, but flags inflation risks and slowdown due to West Asia conflict

Updated On: 09 Apr 2026 | 12:05 AM IST

RBI maintains status quo, sees FY27 growth at 6.9% with downside risks

Projects inflation to rise to 4.6% in FY27 from 2.1% in FY26, GDP growth to slow to 6.9% from 7.6%

Updated On: 08 Apr 2026 | 11:58 PM IST

RBI policy carefully balances growth and inflation control: Somil Mehta

On the growth side, the RBI has maintained a positive outlook, projecting gross domestic product (GDP) growth at 6.9 per cent for FY27

Updated On: 08 Apr 2026 | 1:19 PM IST