Rating agency ICRA on Tuesday projected GDP growth to moderate in July-September period of FY26 to 7 per cent, from 7.8 per cent in the previous quarter, amid lower government spending. ICRA said while the services and agriculture sectors would lose some momentum in the second quarter, industrial performance would be strong propelled by manufacturing, construction and favourable base effects. This is expected to underpin the quarter's economic activity. The rating agency in a statement said it expects GDP growth to ease to 7 per cent year-on-year in Q2 (July-September) from 7.8 per cent in Q1 (April-June) FY2025-26. Indian economy had expanded 5.6 per cent in the Q2 (July-September) of 2024-25 fiscal. The National Statistics Office (NSO) is slated to release the official data on FY26 Q2 GDP growth estimates on November 28. ICRA chief economist Aditi Nayar said a lower YoY rise in government spending is likely to weigh on the pace of the GDP and GVA growth in Q2 FY2026 compared to
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From a stock market perspective, however, UBS remains underweight on Indian equities as valuations in their view still look expensive relative to the ordinary fundamental performance of companies.
Chief Economic Advisor V Anantha Nageswaran on Wednesday said the Indian economy has responded quite satisfactorily to global headwinds, and exuded confidence that real GDP growth is likely to touch 7 per cent in FY26. Speaking at the India Maritime Week here, Nageswaran said three global rating agencies have recently upgraded their ratings on India, and if the country continues on the same track, India can "soon" break into the 'A' rating category. The academic-turned-policy advisor said the resilience shown by the economy, coupled with measures by the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), places the Indian economy in a "comfortable position". "We should be quite satisfied with the way the Indian economy has responded to global uncertainties this year, and the tariff-related developments as well," he said. The policy measures, including relief in income tax and the recent GST rationalization "have combined to improve the economic growth prospects for this year to near or
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He further said that India's Gross National Income (GNI) per capita of $2,650 needs to double for it to get around the low-middle income group
India, the World Bank said, is expected to remain the world's fastest-growing major economy, underpinned by continued strength in consumption growth
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A favourable base effect and low deflator growth which boosted the headline figure in Q1 is likely to have continued in Q2 - though less pronounced
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The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI's) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) on Wednesday kept the repo rate unchanged at 5.5 per cent and maintained the policy stance at 'neutral', Governor Sanjay Malhotra an
The Asian Development Bank lowered India's FY26 growth projection to 6.5% from 6.7%, citing steep US tariffs that could hit exports, manufacturing and investment in key sectors
The 7.8 per cent GDP growth in the June quarter outperformed the Reserve Bank of India's expectation of 6.5 per cent growth during the August monetary policy meeting
With GST cuts fuelling festive demand and growth holding strong, the RBI's MPC is likely to stay cautious on rate cuts as it weighs inflation risks and uncertain global trade headwinds
RBI will pare CPI inflation projection again, but might not change growth estimate for now; dovish undertone likely
High tariffs imposed by the United States on Indian goods pose a major risk to the country's growth, Crisil Intelligence said in its September report. The tariffs will impact both Indian goods exports and investments, the report added. However, domestic consumption, driven by benign inflation and rate cuts, is expected to support growth, it said. The country's GDP rose to a five-quarter high of 7.8 per cent in the first quarter of fiscal 2025-26, up from 7.4 per cent in the similar quarter in the previous year. Nominal GDP growth, however, slowed to 8.8 per cent from 10.8 per cent during the same period, it added. The report said consumer price index (CPI) inflation is likely to soften to 3.5 per cent in the current fiscal from 4.6 per cent in the previous year. Healthy agricultural growth is expected to keep food inflation under check, though the impact of excess rain was yet to be fully assessed. Lower crude prices and benign global commodity prices are expected to contain non
Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman says India's resilience is built on strong fundamentals, reforms and governance, urging banks to maintain robust balance sheets and consumer trust