India GDP

Rate cuts can now be ruled out and the question will be more on when there can be a rate hike. A clearer picture will emerge over the next few months

As India nears the $3,000 per capita mark, a coordinated push in skills, clean energy and AI could help it leapfrog the middle-income trap

If crude spikes to $150/bbl for a quarter, we see FY27 (GDP) growth at around 5.7 per cent, CPI inflation breaching 6 per cent and the CAD widening to around 3 per cent of GDP, Morgan Stanley said.

India's real GDP growth for the next fiscal could erode by around 1 percentage point, while retail inflation could rise by about 1.5 percentage points from their baseline estimates if the Middle East conflict persists through the next fiscal, an EY report said. The EY Economy Watch report said that several sectors, including employment-intensive sectors like textiles, paints, chemicals, fertilizers, cement and tires, could be directly impacted. Any reduction in employment or incomes in these sectors may further dampen aggregate demand. As a result, both supply and demand conditions may be adversely affected by global oil market disturbances. It said the Indian economy, which imports nearly 90 per cent of its crude oil requirements, is also highly dependent on imports of natural gas and fertilizers, and is particularly vulnerable to such external shocks, with the adverse effects likely to cascade across multiple sectors through strong forward and backward linkages with crude oil and .

The fresh cut in growth estimate by Goldman's analysts follows a change in their assumptions on oil prices and the period of disruption to supplies

India is set to release a new GDP series with 2022–23 as the base year. But what exactly is GDP, how is it calculated, and why do revisions matter?

India’s economy expanded 7.8% in the October–December quarter of FY26, according to newly released national accounts data based on a revised GDP series with 2022–23 as the base year.

Deputy CM Eknath Shinde says Maharashtra is on track to contribute $1.5 trillion to India's GDP as infrastructure expansion and investment drive the state's growth

Tensions in West Asia, if sustained, could test the goldilocks mix of robust growth and stable inflation, Nomura said in a recent note.

A new GDP base year, US-Israel strikes on Iran, India's urban planning crisis, and artificial intelligence's impact on the IT sector dominate today's Opinion page

Economists expect India's FY27 growth to exceed 7 per cent under the new GDP series, supported by capex push and consumption, though trade tensions and El Nino risks loom

Economy expands 7.8% in Q3; manufacturing shines bright

India's GDP grew 7.8% in Q3FY26 under the new series, slightly slower than earlier quarters, while full-year FY26 growth is estimated higher at 7.6% compared to 7.1% in FY25

New 2022-23 GDP base may not change sector shares unless methodology is revised, as past shifts show sharp impact of statistical tweaks

Under previous methods, low nominal ‌GDP growth alongside low wholesale inflation created discrepancies by translating into higher real growth rates

Economists expect Q3 GDP growth to remain above 7 per cent, supported by a pickup in consumption and investment

Panel report released by the National Statistics Office signals shift to more granular expenditure tracking

Fiscal deficit targets stay on track and projections look realistic, but the Budget avoids big reforms on Customs tariffs and tax structure, offering mainly incremental changes

For long-term investors, such investments enhance productivity across sectors like manufacturing, services, logistics, and urban development

Budget's priority seems to be to reinforce India's long term growth narrative while maintain a tight balancing act as far as fiscal discipline is concerned.