Page 2 - India Gdp

EY raises India's GDP forecast to 6.7%; recommends diversifying markets

The 7.8 per cent GDP growth in the June quarter outperformed the Reserve Bank of India's expectation of 6.5 per cent growth during the August monetary policy meeting

US tariffs on Indian goods pose major growth risks: Crisil Intelligence

High tariffs imposed by the United States on Indian goods pose a major risk to the country's growth, Crisil Intelligence said in its September report. The tariffs will impact both Indian goods exports and investments, the report added. However, domestic consumption, driven by benign inflation and rate cuts, is expected to support growth, it said. The country's GDP rose to a five-quarter high of 7.8 per cent in the first quarter of fiscal 2025-26, up from 7.4 per cent in the similar quarter in the previous year. Nominal GDP growth, however, slowed to 8.8 per cent from 10.8 per cent during the same period, it added. The report said consumer price index (CPI) inflation is likely to soften to 3.5 per cent in the current fiscal from 4.6 per cent in the previous year. Healthy agricultural growth is expected to keep food inflation under check, though the impact of excess rain was yet to be fully assessed. Lower crude prices and benign global commodity prices are expected to contain non

Agri share in GDP must rise to 26% for India to be self-reliant: Gadkari

Union Minister Nitin Gadkari on Wednesday stressed on the need to increase the share of agriculture and allied sector in the GDP to at least 26 per cent from the present 18 per cent to make India self-reliant. Addressing an annual general meeting of Crop Care Federation of India, Gadkari, the Union Road Transport and Highways Minister, emphasised on reducing the cost of production to make agriculture sector economically viable. To cut input costs, he called upon the farm equipment manufacturers to make electric as well as flex-engine tractors. Gadkari also asked the agro-chemicals industry to focus on introducing affordable bio-pesticides and bio-insecticides products by undertaking intensive research & development (R&D) works. He also told the industry to produce basic raw material in India itself and reduce import dependency to ensure the quality of the finished agro-chemicals. Talking about the agriculture sector, Gadkari said the farm sector is the backbone of our ...

S&P Global retains India's GDP forecast at 6.5%, revises inflation downward

The report added that low inflation provides room for further monetary policy adjustments, with S&P expecting a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India in FY26

Fitch ups India FY26 GDP forecast to 6.9% from 6.5% on domestic demand

Global growth is now forecast to be 2.4 per cent in 2025, up 0.2 percentage points (pp) since June but a sizable slowdown from 2.9 per cent last year and below trend

GST reforms a mini budget; market risk greater in mid, smallcaps: S Naren

The current market cycle, Naren said, does not resemble earlier periods. Today, the macroeconomic situation is extremely strong, which was not the case in the past

Trump tariffs may trim 0.5% from India's FY26 GDP: CEA Nageswaran

V Anantha Nageswaran warns prolonged US tariffs pose a major risk to growth, but remains confident of meeting India's 6.3-6.8 per cent GDP target for FY26

Govt spending and exports likely to begin unwinding in Q2, says BMI

BMI said any export front-loading that continued post-June has likely been cut short by the rise in US 'reciprocal' tariffs, first to 25 per cent on July 31, 2025, and then to 50 per cent on August 27

India grew 7.8% in Q1 despite global economic challenges: PM Modi

In a veiled rebuttal to the 'dead economy' jibe, Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Tuesday said the Indian economy grew 7.8 per cent in the first quarter, surpassing all expectations despite global uncertainties and challenges driven by economic self-interest. Speaking at the Semicon India 2025 conference here, he said GDP growth in April-June was better than 'every expectation, hope and estimate'. Indian economic performance came amidst global uncertainties and "aarthik swarth se paida hue chunautiya hai" (challenges stemming from economic self-interest), he said. "Once again, India has outperformed every expectation, every estimate, and every forecast," Modi said. While economies around the world are facing concerns and challenges driven by economic self-interest, India has achieved a growth rate of 7.8 per cent. Modi emphasized that this growth is visible across all sectors -- manufacturing, services, agriculture, and construction -- with enthusiasm evident everywhere, and added

India's Q1 FY26 GDP hits five-quarter high at 7.8%, beats RBI forecast

Q1 FY26 GDP: MoSPI data shows GDP growth above RBI's 6.5% estimate; nominal GDP at ₹86.05 trillion, GVA at ₹44.64 trillion

India's GDP growth likely slowed to 6.7% in Q1, set to ease further: Poll

The poll showed India GDP growth slowing to 6.5 per cent this quarter, 6.3 per cent in October-December and 6.2 per cent in January-March

Statsguru: Deflators likely to offset corporate results' impact on GDP

Deflators may offset corporate results' impact on GDP

US tariffs may lower India's growth by 30 bps over a year, says HSBC report

Along with the 25 per cent tariff in effect, the US had imposed an additional 25 per cent penalty on India for importing crude from Russia

India should join RCEP, focus on East Asia for GDP growth: Jeffrey Sachs

Sachs said that India could target 7 per cent GDP growth in the coming decade by focusing on East Asia

India's GDP growth may dip to 6% in FY26 if 50% tariffs imposed: Moody's

Moody's Ratings on Friday said India's GDP growth is likely to slow down by about 30 basis points to 6 per cent in the current fiscal if the US implements 50 per cent tariffs from August 27. However, resilient domestic demand and the strength of the services sector will mitigate the strain on India, Moody's said, adding that India's response to high US tariffs will ultimately determine the effect on its growth, inflation and external position. On August 6, the US announced an additional 25 per cent tariff on all Indian imports, in addition to an existing 25 per cent duty, taking the total duty to 50 per cent effective August 27. The White House said the measure responds to India's continued purchase of Russian oil. "Should India continue to procure Russian oil at the expense of the headline 50 per cent tariff rate on goods it ships to the US, which is currently its largest export destination, we project that real GDP growth may slow by around 0.3 percentage points compared with our

US tariff impact: India's FY26 GDP growth likely to take 60-bp hit

Economists expect India's FY26 GDP to face a 35-60 bps hit from US tariff hike; strong domestic demand may cushion the blow but targeted support may be needed

Why Mahesh Patil sees opportunity, not panic, in Trump's tariff escalation

If effective, the steep 50 per cent tariff would be similar to a trade embargo, and will lead to sharp fall in affected export products, especially ones with thinner margins

Trump hits India with 50% tariff: Tharoor slams US, experts warn of GDP hit

After US President Trump announced an extra 25% tariff on Indian goods over Russian oil imports, Congress leader Shashi Tharoor called it a 'double standard', while economists warned of a hit to India

Goldman Sachs trims India's GDP forecast on Trump's 25% tariffs

Goldman Sachs lowered India's economic growth forecast after Donald Trump imposed a 25 per cent tariff

Goldman Sachs, Bernstein, Nomura: Brokerages decode Trump India tariffs

Export-oriented stocks, analysts said, can underperform in the near-term. Investor sentiment till trade talks turn positive from here is expected to remain cautious, they suggest