The poll showed India GDP growth slowing to 6.5 per cent this quarter, 6.3 per cent in October-December and 6.2 per cent in January-March
Deflators may offset corporate results' impact on GDP
Along with the 25 per cent tariff in effect, the US had imposed an additional 25 per cent penalty on India for importing crude from Russia
Sachs said that India could target 7 per cent GDP growth in the coming decade by focusing on East Asia
Moody's Ratings on Friday said India's GDP growth is likely to slow down by about 30 basis points to 6 per cent in the current fiscal if the US implements 50 per cent tariffs from August 27. However, resilient domestic demand and the strength of the services sector will mitigate the strain on India, Moody's said, adding that India's response to high US tariffs will ultimately determine the effect on its growth, inflation and external position. On August 6, the US announced an additional 25 per cent tariff on all Indian imports, in addition to an existing 25 per cent duty, taking the total duty to 50 per cent effective August 27. The White House said the measure responds to India's continued purchase of Russian oil. "Should India continue to procure Russian oil at the expense of the headline 50 per cent tariff rate on goods it ships to the US, which is currently its largest export destination, we project that real GDP growth may slow by around 0.3 percentage points compared with our
Economists expect India's FY26 GDP to face a 35-60 bps hit from US tariff hike; strong domestic demand may cushion the blow but targeted support may be needed
If effective, the steep 50 per cent tariff would be similar to a trade embargo, and will lead to sharp fall in affected export products, especially ones with thinner margins
After US President Trump announced an extra 25% tariff on Indian goods over Russian oil imports, Congress leader Shashi Tharoor called it a 'double standard', while economists warned of a hit to India
Goldman Sachs lowered India's economic growth forecast after Donald Trump imposed a 25 per cent tariff
Export-oriented stocks, analysts said, can underperform in the near-term. Investor sentiment till trade talks turn positive from here is expected to remain cautious, they suggest
The Indian economy is expected to grow at 6.5 per cent in the current financial year, despite geo-political tensions and trade policy uncertainties, Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister (EAC-PM) Chairman S Mahendra Dev said on Tuesday. In an interview with PTI, Dev further said that domestic growth will be driven by low inflation, resulting from good monsoon and benign interest rate regime, triggered by three back-to-back rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of India. "There are significant global headwinds like the twin shocks of geo-political tensions and trade policy uncertainties. "However, the Indian economy is resilient and continues to be the fastest growing country among large economies," the eminent economist said. According to Dev, high-frequency indicators for the first two months of 2025-26 indicate resilient performance of the domestic economy. "A 6.5 per cent of GDP growth for FY26 is feasible despite global uncertainties. India's medium-term growth prospects see
India needs an average nominal GDP growth rate of 10 per cent annually to achieve the government's vision of Viksit Bharat by 2047, CII President Rajiv Memani said. Nominal GDP is the total value of goods and services produced in a country, measured using current market prices, without adjusting for inflation, unlike real GDP. "India would require an average about 10 per cent nominal growth to achieve the Viksit Bharat vision," Memani told PTI. In an interview to PTI, the newly-appointed president of the industry lobby observed that the interim trade pact between India and the US, expected to be finalised shortly, will remove the cloud of "uncertainty", providing access to a bigger market for Indian firms, especially in labour-intensive sectors. The trade pact between the two nations will also pave the way for technology transfers, more joint ventures and partnerships, the CII president said. "So I think first is that the uncertainty which was there, I think that will go away. Peo
India's current account balance recorded a surplus of USD 13.5 billion (1.3 per cent of GDP) in January-March quarter of 2024-25 as compared with USD 4.6 billion (0.5 per cent of GDP) in the year-ago period, RBI said on Friday. The current account was in deficit of USD 11.3 billion (1.1 per cent of GDP) in December quarter of 2024-25. On annual basis, India had a current account deficit at USD 23.3 billion (0.6 per cent of GDP) during 2024-25, lower than USD 26 billion (0.7 per cent of GDP) during 2023-24, primarily due to higher net invisibles receipts. Merchandise trade deficit at USD 59.5 billion in Q4:2024-25 was higher than USD 52 billion in Q4:2023-24, according to Reserve Bank's 'Developments in India's Balance of Payments during the Fourth Quarter (January-March) of 2024-25. However, it moderated from USD 79.3 billion in Q3:2024-25. Net services receipts increased to USD 53.3 billion in Q4:2024-25 from USD 42.7 billion a year ago. Services exports have risen on a y-o-y ba
Private sector spending is still trailing far behind, and analysts generally agree the economy is still failing to create enough quality jobs for its large young population
S&P raised India's FY26 growth forecast citing strong domestic demand, normal monsoon hopes, lower oil prices, and easing policy - reversing last month's downgrade over global risks
Even with oil prices ruling at $110 and $108/bbl in FY13 and FY14 respectively, the Nifty 50 managed to post a gain of 7.3 per cent and 18 per cent in each of these two fiscal years
Helped by significant improvement in energy efficiency and investment capacity, India has been ranked 71st on a global Energy Transition Index released on Wednesday by the World Economic Forum. Sweden topped the list of 118 countries, followed by Finland, Denmark, Norway and Switzerland in the top five. China was ranked 12th, the US was 17th and Pakistan at 101st place. Congo was ranked lowest. While India's rank has fallen from 63rd last year, the WEF said India and China experienced the greatest overall improvement among large economies, especially in increasing access to energy and strengthening transition readiness. The WEF said the top five largest economies China, the US, EU, Japan and India will ultimately determine the pace and direction of the global energy transition due to their sheer size. Together, they account for around half of the global GDP, population and total energy supply (TES), and also nearly two-thirds of global emissions, giving them an outsized influenc
In this exclusive conversation, historian David C. Engerman, author of Apostles of Development, joins Ankur Bhardwaj to discuss the economists who shaped South Asia’s postcolonial development.
While acknowledging that valuations appear stretched, Standard Chartered noted that Nifty's 12-month forward P/E ratio of 20.6x is above its long-term average of 18.2x but still below recent peaks.
UBS ups India's economic growth outlook on strong Q4 performance, rural demand rebound, easing trade tensions, and low oil prices