India GDP Growth

India's economy is likely to lose some momentum in the second half of fiscal 2026-27 as tighter financial conditions, elevated energy prices and unfavourable base effects weigh on activity, while broadening inflation pressures could keep monetary policy focused on price stability, DBS Bank economist Radhika Rao said. India started FY27 (April 2026 to March 2027 fiscal year) on a strong footing, with the economy growing 7.8 per cent year-on-year in the first quarter, supported by resilient domestic demand, consumption, public capital expenditure and manufacturing, Rao, Senior Economist and Executive Director at DBS Bank, said in an assessment of the macroeconomic outlook. DBS expects full-year FY27 growth to average 7.3 per cent, compared with a revised 7.8 per cent for FY26, she said. High-frequency indicators including goods and services tax collections, e-way bills, electricity demand and digital payments have remained resilient, suggesting domestic activity continues to hold up,

The agency said elevated energy prices and ‌El Niño-related food price pressures pose risks to inflation, consumption and growth

Despite govt's efforts, it remains difficult to assess whether the problems with the earlier GDP series have been adequately addressed

India's economy started FY27 on a strong footing, but questions emerged over the 7.8 per cent GDP growth in Q1 and the methodology behind it

The government has revised the GDP estimate for Q1 FY2025-26 following the introduction of a new GDP series with 2022-23 as the base year

India recorded a "remarkable growth" of 7.8 per cent in the first quarter of fiscal year 2026-27 despite global disruptions, and against all odds, remains the fastest-growing major economy in the world, Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said. Sitharaman on Wednesday participated in a high-level business roundtable with investors, organised by the Consulate General of India in New York in association with Bank of America, New York. Addressing investors, Sitharaman said that "despite global disruptions and against all odds, India continues to be the fastest-growing major economy in the world, recording a remarkable growth of 7.8 per cent in Q1 of FY 2026-27," the Finance Ministry said in a post on X. Sitharaman arrived here after participating in the G20 finance ministerial meeting in Asheville, North Carolina. Sitharaman added that with its strong reform orientation, India has also provided greater regulatory certainty through a range of reforms, including the Insolvency and ...

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Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Tuesday applauded the country's people for the 7.8 per cent GDP growth rate, calling the feat particularly impressive, coming against the backdrop of global turmoil, geopolitical conflicts, and supply chain disruptions. In a video message on Instagram, the prime minister also slammed those spreading "jhooth ki goonj" (an apparent riff on Rahul Gandhi's 'Chhatron ki Goonj' campaign), saying the latest GDP growth rate tore through the narrative of "pessimism" about the Indian economy. Modi said India must maintain the growth momentum and continue working towards greater self-reliance and 'Swadeshi'. "We must maintain this momentum. We must keep moving forward, and for that, becoming Atmanirbhar Bharat is essential," he said. The prime minister said if people continue to stress on Swadeshi and self-reliance, the country's youth will be presented with a developed India in the 100th year of Independence. He also asked people not to go for foreign holiday

Investment, consumption spearhead strong uptick despite West Asia crisis effects

India's economy has shown resilience despite tariffs and the West Asia conflict, with strong domestic demand, healthier balance sheets and investment supporting growth

India's GDP grew 7.8% in Q1FY27, below 8.2% GVA growth as subsidies restrained net indirect tax growth, widening the gap between the two measures

CEA V Anantha Nageswaran says strong manufacturing, services and exports underscore India's economic resilience despite global uncertainty and energy risks

The data from the expenditure side showed that private final consumption expenditure increased 7.1 per cent during the quarter, an improvement over the previous year but below the headline rate

India needs 9.25% growth rate to meet PM Modi's 2047 developed-nation goal, according to Ashok Lahiri, a senior official at the country's apex government-run think-tank

Risks to the outlook for Asia's third-largest economy, which imports more than 85 per cent of its oil, have increased as crude prices are above $90 a barrel and may climb higher

India's GDP growth is likely to ease to around 7.2% in Q1 FY27, a four-quarter low, amid softer services activity and a delayed monsoon despite resilient domestic demand

Gupta also sounded confident about India's external accounts, saying it will be 'much more conducive'

India Ratings & Research on Tuesday projected India's GDP growth to slow down to 6.8 per cent in the current fiscal year, as against 7.6 per cent in the previous year, citing risks from fuel and food inflation stemming from West Asia conflict's uncertainty, weak currency, and the likely impact of El Nino on agriculture. The FY27 GDP growth projection at 6.8 per cent is a tad higher than the 6.7 per cent growth Ind-Ra had projected in May. Earlier this month, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had raised growth projections from 6.6 per cent to 6.7 per cent citing resilient domestic economy. The domestic rating agency said it now estimates average crude oil price at USD 85/bbl in FY27 compared to USD 95/bbl in May 2026. It expects rupee-dollar exchange rate to average Rs 93.98 (May 2026: Rs 94.28), a depreciation of 6.4 per cent YoY, in FY27. Fitch Group subsidiary Ind-Ra estimates capital flows of USD 70 billion under foreign currency non-resident (bank) (FCNR B) and external ...

India's economy has undergone a major transformation over eight decades, moving from an agriculture-led model towards a more diverse, services-driven economy

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) in its World Economic Outlook for April 2026 noted India's nominal GDP at USD 3.92 trillion for 2025-26, which makes India the sixth-largest economy in the world, Parliament was informed on Tuesday. "The IMF's rankings are based on nominal GDP measured at prevailing US Dollar exchange rates. Consequently, the relative ranking of economies can change due to a combination of factors, including economic growth, movements in exchange rates and prices, revisions to national accounts and changes in the size and growth of other major economies," Minister of State for Finance Pankaj Chaudhary said in a written reply to the Rajya Sabha. The government has adopted a broad-based strategy to enhance the growth potential of the Indian economy, he said. The strategy focuses on enhancing agricultural productivity, promoting manufacturing through initiatives such as the Production-Linked Incentive Schemes and relaxing Quality Control Orders, strengthening MSMEs