India GDP Growth

2025 was a reckoning for 'experts' who claim to forecast the future

There's no shortage of forecasts for 2026, but 2025 shows why we should treat them with scepticism

Updated On: 14 Jan 2026 | 10:20 PM IST

India's GDP to grow at 7.5-7.8% in FY26, 6.6-6.9% in FY27: Deloitte

India is likely to clock a GDP growth of 7.5-7.8 per cent in the current fiscal, supported by festive demand and robust services activity, and moderate to 6.6-6.9 per cent in FY27 on a high base and persistent global uncertainties, Deloitte India said on Wednesday. For India, 2025 will be remembered as the year of "resilience" in domestic demand, decisive reforms in fiscal, monetary and labour policies, and recalibrations in trade policies. Real GDP grew 8 per cent in the first half (April-September) of the ongoing 2025-26 fiscal despite global headwinds such as trade disruptions, policy shifts in advanced economies, and volatile capital flows. Deloitte India expects full year GDP growth at 7.5-7.8 per cent for FY2025-26, supported by festive demand and robust services activity. Furthermore, growth may moderate to 6.6-6.9 per cent in FY2026-27, reflecting a high base and persistent global uncertainties, it said in a statement. "India's resilience is no accident. It stems from ...

Updated On: 14 Jan 2026 | 2:15 PM IST

India's GDP growth pegged at 7% in FY27 on favourable policies: BMI

BMI, a Fitch Group company, on Monday forecast a 7.4 per cent growth for the current fiscal and 7 per cent for FY27 saying a favourable policy environment bode well for India's economic outlook. It said that monetary and regulatory measures should stimulate investment and consumption over 2026-27 fiscal. "A strong advanced estimate of the current fiscal year's GDP, rising US-bound merchandise exports during the past two months, and a favourable policy environment bode well for India's economic outlook," BMI said in a report. The National Statistics Office (NSO) has projected a 7.4 per cent GDP expansion for FY2025/26 (April-March). This implies the government expects GDP will grow by around 7 per cent Y-o-Y on average in the second half of the fiscal year. The Indian economy grew at 6.5 per cent in 2024-25 fiscal. BMI revised upwards GDP forecast for 2025-26 to 7.4 per cent, up from 7.2 per cent projected earlier. It now expects GDP to rise by 7 per cent in FY2026-27, up from 6.6

Updated On: 12 Jan 2026 | 5:09 PM IST

Datanomics: Lower tax buoyancy, not GDP, weighs on Centre's finances

Slower nominal GDP growth in FY26 may not hurt deficit math, but weak tax buoyancy and a slipping tax-to-GDP ratio signal rising stress on revenue collections

Updated On: 07 Jan 2026 | 11:19 PM IST

FY26 a Goldilocks year for Indian economy; can it be repeated in FY27?

Stronger-than-expected FY26 growth gives India a rare Goldilocks moment, but sustaining the momentum in FY27 will hinge on policy coordination amid global uncertainty

Updated On: 07 Jan 2026 | 10:54 PM IST

India's GDP to grow 6.9% in FY27, goldilocks situation to persist: Ind-Ra

India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) on Tuesday projected Indian economy to grow at 6.9 per cent in the 2026-27 fiscal year beginning April 1 saying key reforms like GST and income tax cuts, and trade pacts will act as economic catalyst and shield economy from global turbulence. The economy will continue to be in 'Goldilocks' situation of high growth and retail inflation averaging 3.8 per cent in the next fiscal as well, and Indo-US trade deal with reduced tariffs will add to the GDP growth numbers, said Ind-Ra, Chief Economist, Devendra Kumar Pant. For the current fiscal, Ind-Ra projected real GDP growth at 7.4 per cent, while nominal GDP expansion at 9 per cent. Ind-Ra expects the Indian Rupee to average 92.26 to a dollar in FY27, higher than 88.64 to a dollar in the current fiscal. The Union government's debt as a percentage of GDP is projected to come down to 55.5 per cent in FY27, from an estimated 56.3 per cent in the current fiscal. The government estimates to bring down debt

Updated On: 06 Jan 2026 | 3:14 PM IST

Shifting sands: Billionaires' wealth loses weight vs expanding GDP

India's billionaire promoters lose ground as equity market weakness and rupee depreciation drag wealth growth below the pace of the country's fast-expanding GDP

Updated On: 04 Jan 2026 | 11:34 PM IST

US tariffs, shifting metrics and the risks facing India's economy in 2026

As the US disrupts global trade and India pushes major trade deals, 2026 will test whether reforms, new economic measures and shifting geopolitics can sustain India's growth momentum

Updated On: 31 Dec 2025 | 10:48 PM IST

Yearender 2025: The economy sailed through, but the waters are uncertain

Real GDP growth surprised on the upside in 2025, but weaker nominal growth, trade uncertainty, and soft demand signal a bumpier road ahead

Updated On: 27 Dec 2025 | 12:37 AM IST

India likely to record about 7 per cent growth in FY26: Gita Gopinath

The Indian economy is expected to record around 7 per cent growth in the current fiscal, slightly higher than 6.6 per cent projected by the IMF in October, said Gita Gopinath, former chief economist of the Washington-based International Monetary Fund. Speaking at Times Network's India Economic Conclave 2025, Gopinath said that the IMF made its projection for India's growth before the National Statistical Office (NSO) came out with its July-September quarter growth rate of 8.2 per cent. "I would say that the IMF number (India's growth projection) was 6.6 per cent that came out in October. But their forecast for the second quarter of the current fiscal, in terms of what the growth would be, was much lower than what it turned out to be at over 8 per cent. "Just doing math, I would expect that India's GDP growth would go up close to 7 per cent," she said. Earlier this month, the Reserve Bank of India raised the GDP growth projection to 7.3 per cent for the current fiscal from its earli

Updated On: 17 Dec 2025 | 6:49 PM IST

India's economy expected to grow at least 7% in FY26: FM Sitharaman

Chief Economic Adviser Anantha Nageswaran upgraded his forecast late last month to at least 7 per cent after data showed an expansion of more than 8 per cent in the three months through September

Updated On: 06 Dec 2025 | 2:24 PM IST

RBI responded to economic data; markets to remain range-bound: Analysts

Besides cutting interest rates by 25 bps, the RBI also revised its GDP growth forecast for fiscal 2025-26 (FY26) upward to 7.3 per cent from the current estimate of 6.8 per cent

Updated On: 05 Dec 2025 | 11:18 PM IST

Gaining traction: AIF commitments jump to ₹13.5 trillion in 2025

India's march toward a $6.6-trillion economy is being powered by booming AIF activity, with commitments touching ₹13.49 lakh crore and domestic investors emerging as major contributors

Updated On: 02 Dec 2025 | 10:48 PM IST

8% GDP growth in Q2 may evince pause in RBI's MPC December review

Interestingly, the US Federal Reserve's December 2025 meeting is a few days after the MPC's last scheduled review for 2025, in which it may cut rates further.

Updated On: 03 Dec 2025 | 7:17 AM IST

Manufacturing-related stocks have more headroom left, say analysts

At the bourses, meanwhile, Nifty India Manufacturing index, which has outperformed the market by surging 26 per cent in the past nine months

Updated On: 01 Dec 2025 | 10:39 PM IST

Best of BS Opinion: Will a 25% rate cut make any meaningful difference?

Today's Best of BS Opinion looks at India's real GDP growth contrasts with weak nominal growth, persistent air pollution, confusion over AI , and uncertain labour-code implementation and more

Updated On: 01 Dec 2025 | 6:15 AM IST

Crisil raises India's FY26 GDP forecast to 7% after strong Q2 growth

Crisil has raised its forecast for the country's GDP growth to 7 per cent from 6.5 per cent for the current financial year, following the first-half growth of 8 per cent that exceeded expectations. Chief economist of Crisil, Dharmakriti Joshi, said that India's real GDP growth stood at 8.2 per cent in the second quarter, exceeding expectations. However, due to easing inflation, the nominal GDP growth was modest at 8.7 per cent. The first half growth of eight per cent and an expected slowdown to 6.1 per cent in the second half owing to the impact of higher US tariffs, Joshi said. According to Crisil, private consumption was the main driver of higher real GDP growth. From the supply side, growth in manufacturing and services saw a significant rise. Joshi said lower food inflation stoked discretionary spending in the country. Joshi said that the third quarter is expected to continue benefiting from these tailwinds. While government investment will stabilise likely, there could be a .

Updated On: 29 Nov 2025 | 4:27 PM IST

Jairam Ramesh calls India's 8.2% GDP growth 'ironic' after IMF criticism

Earlier on Friday, as per the NSO data, India's real GDP was estimated to have grown by 8.2 per cent in the July-September quarter of the current financial year 2025-26

Updated On: 29 Nov 2025 | 8:48 AM IST

India on track to be the fastest-growing major economy for yet another year

The GDP estimates by National Statistical Office for the second quarter have however surpassed even the most upbeat estimates on the street by miles

Updated On: 29 Nov 2025 | 12:02 AM IST

Manufacturing muscle lifts Q2 GDP growth to 6-quarter high of 8.2%

FY26 estimates to be revised upwards after faster-than-expected expansion

Updated On: 28 Nov 2025 | 11:15 PM IST