Page 2 - India Gdp Growth

FY26 a Goldilocks year for Indian economy; can it be repeated in FY27?

Stronger-than-expected FY26 growth gives India a rare Goldilocks moment, but sustaining the momentum in FY27 will hinge on policy coordination amid global uncertainty

India's GDP to grow 6.9% in FY27, goldilocks situation to persist: Ind-Ra

India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) on Tuesday projected Indian economy to grow at 6.9 per cent in the 2026-27 fiscal year beginning April 1 saying key reforms like GST and income tax cuts, and trade pacts will act as economic catalyst and shield economy from global turbulence. The economy will continue to be in 'Goldilocks' situation of high growth and retail inflation averaging 3.8 per cent in the next fiscal as well, and Indo-US trade deal with reduced tariffs will add to the GDP growth numbers, said Ind-Ra, Chief Economist, Devendra Kumar Pant. For the current fiscal, Ind-Ra projected real GDP growth at 7.4 per cent, while nominal GDP expansion at 9 per cent. Ind-Ra expects the Indian Rupee to average 92.26 to a dollar in FY27, higher than 88.64 to a dollar in the current fiscal. The Union government's debt as a percentage of GDP is projected to come down to 55.5 per cent in FY27, from an estimated 56.3 per cent in the current fiscal. The government estimates to bring down debt

Shifting sands: Billionaires' wealth loses weight vs expanding GDP

India's billionaire promoters lose ground as equity market weakness and rupee depreciation drag wealth growth below the pace of the country's fast-expanding GDP

US tariffs, shifting metrics and the risks facing India's economy in 2026

As the US disrupts global trade and India pushes major trade deals, 2026 will test whether reforms, new economic measures and shifting geopolitics can sustain India's growth momentum

Yearender 2025: The economy sailed through, but the waters are uncertain

Real GDP growth surprised on the upside in 2025, but weaker nominal growth, trade uncertainty, and soft demand signal a bumpier road ahead

India likely to record about 7 per cent growth in FY26: Gita Gopinath

The Indian economy is expected to record around 7 per cent growth in the current fiscal, slightly higher than 6.6 per cent projected by the IMF in October, said Gita Gopinath, former chief economist of the Washington-based International Monetary Fund. Speaking at Times Network's India Economic Conclave 2025, Gopinath said that the IMF made its projection for India's growth before the National Statistical Office (NSO) came out with its July-September quarter growth rate of 8.2 per cent. "I would say that the IMF number (India's growth projection) was 6.6 per cent that came out in October. But their forecast for the second quarter of the current fiscal, in terms of what the growth would be, was much lower than what it turned out to be at over 8 per cent. "Just doing math, I would expect that India's GDP growth would go up close to 7 per cent," she said. Earlier this month, the Reserve Bank of India raised the GDP growth projection to 7.3 per cent for the current fiscal from its earli

India's economy expected to grow at least 7% in FY26: FM Sitharaman

Chief Economic Adviser Anantha Nageswaran upgraded his forecast late last month to at least 7 per cent after data showed an expansion of more than 8 per cent in the three months through September

RBI responded to economic data; markets to remain range-bound: Analysts

Besides cutting interest rates by 25 bps, the RBI also revised its GDP growth forecast for fiscal 2025-26 (FY26) upward to 7.3 per cent from the current estimate of 6.8 per cent

Gaining traction: AIF commitments jump to ₹13.5 trillion in 2025

India's march toward a $6.6-trillion economy is being powered by booming AIF activity, with commitments touching ₹13.49 lakh crore and domestic investors emerging as major contributors

8% GDP growth in Q2 may evince pause in RBI's MPC December review

Interestingly, the US Federal Reserve's December 2025 meeting is a few days after the MPC's last scheduled review for 2025, in which it may cut rates further.

Manufacturing-related stocks have more headroom left, say analysts

At the bourses, meanwhile, Nifty India Manufacturing index, which has outperformed the market by surging 26 per cent in the past nine months

Best of BS Opinion: Will a 25% rate cut make any meaningful difference?

Today's Best of BS Opinion looks at India's real GDP growth contrasts with weak nominal growth, persistent air pollution, confusion over AI , and uncertain labour-code implementation and more

Crisil raises India's FY26 GDP forecast to 7% after strong Q2 growth

Crisil has raised its forecast for the country's GDP growth to 7 per cent from 6.5 per cent for the current financial year, following the first-half growth of 8 per cent that exceeded expectations. Chief economist of Crisil, Dharmakriti Joshi, said that India's real GDP growth stood at 8.2 per cent in the second quarter, exceeding expectations. However, due to easing inflation, the nominal GDP growth was modest at 8.7 per cent. The first half growth of eight per cent and an expected slowdown to 6.1 per cent in the second half owing to the impact of higher US tariffs, Joshi said. According to Crisil, private consumption was the main driver of higher real GDP growth. From the supply side, growth in manufacturing and services saw a significant rise. Joshi said lower food inflation stoked discretionary spending in the country. Joshi said that the third quarter is expected to continue benefiting from these tailwinds. While government investment will stabilise likely, there could be a .

Jairam Ramesh calls India's 8.2% GDP growth 'ironic' after IMF criticism

Earlier on Friday, as per the NSO data, India's real GDP was estimated to have grown by 8.2 per cent in the July-September quarter of the current financial year 2025-26

India on track to be the fastest-growing major economy for yet another year

The GDP estimates by National Statistical Office for the second quarter have however surpassed even the most upbeat estimates on the street by miles

Manufacturing muscle lifts Q2 GDP growth to 6-quarter high of 8.2%

FY26 estimates to be revised upwards after faster-than-expected expansion

India set for over 7% GDP growth in FY26, to cross $4 trn mark: CEA

Chief Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran said India's growth outlook remains strong, with Q2 momentum boosting expectations that GDP will exceed 7 per cent and cross $4 trillion this fiscal year

Stock Market Close: Sensex down 14 points; Nifty at 26,203; IT, realty, oil & gas shares fall

Stock Market Close on Friday, November 28, 2025: In the broader markets, Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 ended lower by 0.11 per cent and 0.27 per cent, respectively.

India to lead emerging market growth with 7% GDP rise in 2025: Moody's

Moody's Ratings on Friday said with a 7 per cent GDP expansion in 2025 and 6.4 per cent in the next year, India will lead growth among emerging markets and across the Asia Pacific region. Moody's also said that India's domestic growth drivers underpin its economic resilience amid global uncertainty. Although the Indian rupee has continued to weaken against the dollar, most rated companies have active currency risk management or strong financial buffers, while investment-grade entities have demonstrated access to international capital markets. "India will lead growth among emerging markets and across the region, with GDP growing 7 per cent in 2025 and 6.4 per cent in 2026," Moody's Ratings said. Its projected average GDP growth in APAC (Asia-Pacific) will remain steady at 3.4 per cent in 2026 compared with 3.3 per cent in 2024 and expected growth of 3.6 per cent in 2025. On a weighted average basis, emerging markets will drive GDP growth in the region, with average growth of 5.6 p

India's Q2 GDP growth likely stayed firm on strong domestic demand

Gross domestic product is expected to have grown 7.3 per cent in July-September from a year earlier, down from 7.8 per cent in the prior quarter