The GDP estimates by National Statistical Office for the second quarter have however surpassed even the most upbeat estimates on the street by miles
FY26 estimates to be revised upwards after faster-than-expected expansion
Chief Economic Adviser V Anantha Nageswaran said India's growth outlook remains strong, with Q2 momentum boosting expectations that GDP will exceed 7 per cent and cross $4 trillion this fiscal year
Stock Market Close on Friday, November 28, 2025: In the broader markets, Nifty Midcap 100 and Nifty Smallcap 100 ended lower by 0.11 per cent and 0.27 per cent, respectively.
Moody's Ratings on Friday said with a 7 per cent GDP expansion in 2025 and 6.4 per cent in the next year, India will lead growth among emerging markets and across the Asia Pacific region. Moody's also said that India's domestic growth drivers underpin its economic resilience amid global uncertainty. Although the Indian rupee has continued to weaken against the dollar, most rated companies have active currency risk management or strong financial buffers, while investment-grade entities have demonstrated access to international capital markets. "India will lead growth among emerging markets and across the region, with GDP growing 7 per cent in 2025 and 6.4 per cent in 2026," Moody's Ratings said. Its projected average GDP growth in APAC (Asia-Pacific) will remain steady at 3.4 per cent in 2026 compared with 3.3 per cent in 2024 and expected growth of 3.6 per cent in 2025. On a weighted average basis, emerging markets will drive GDP growth in the region, with average growth of 5.6 p
Gross domestic product is expected to have grown 7.3 per cent in July-September from a year earlier, down from 7.8 per cent in the prior quarter
Lower deflators are expected to lift real growth again, offsetting weak corporate numbers and muted nominal expansion
S&P Global Ratings on Monday projected India's economy to grow 6.5 per cent in the current fiscal year and 6.7 per cent in the next, saying tax cuts and monetary policy easing will give a boost to consumption-driven growth. India's real gross domestic product (GDP) is estimated to have grown at the fastest pace in five quarters at 7.8 per cent in the April to June period of current fiscal year. The official data for Q2 (July-September) GDP growth estimates is scheduled to be released on November 28. "We anticipate that India's GDP will grow by 6.5 per cent in fiscal year 2026 (ending March 2026) and 6.7 per cent in fiscal 2027, with risks evenly balanced. Domestic growth remains robust, driven by strong consumption, despite the impact of US tariffs," S&P said in its Economic Outlook Asia-Pacific report. The RBI has projected India's GDP growth in the current fiscal year at 6.8 per cent, better than 6.5 per cent expansion in last fiscal year. S&P further said if India can ..
Rating agency ICRA on Tuesday projected GDP growth to moderate in July-September period of FY26 to 7 per cent, from 7.8 per cent in the previous quarter, amid lower government spending. ICRA said while the services and agriculture sectors would lose some momentum in the second quarter, industrial performance would be strong propelled by manufacturing, construction and favourable base effects. This is expected to underpin the quarter's economic activity. The rating agency in a statement said it expects GDP growth to ease to 7 per cent year-on-year in Q2 (July-September) from 7.8 per cent in Q1 (April-June) FY2025-26. Indian economy had expanded 5.6 per cent in the Q2 (July-September) of 2024-25 fiscal. The National Statistics Office (NSO) is slated to release the official data on FY26 Q2 GDP growth estimates on November 28. ICRA chief economist Aditi Nayar said a lower YoY rise in government spending is likely to weigh on the pace of the GDP and GVA growth in Q2 FY2026 compared to
The biggest risk to the bottoming out of the rupee, Wood believes, is the continuing resort to handouts in state election politics which have been a feature for the past two years
Economists see growth above 7% in July-September, backed by consumption revival, robust capex, and steady industrial output; RBI had earlier pegged Q2 GDP at 7%
India Ratings & Research (Ind-Ra) on Wednesday projected India's GDP to grow at 7.2 per cent in the second quarter of the current fiscal, with private consumption being the leading growth driver. The Indian economy had expanded 5.6 per cent in the Q2 (July-September) of 2024-25 fiscal. India's real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is estimated to have grown at the fastest pace in five quarters at 7.8 per cent in the April to June period of the current fiscal. The National Statistics Office (NSO) is slated to release the official data on FY26 Q2 GDP growth estimates on November 28. In a statement, Ind-Ra said it expects GDP growth to remain robust at 7.2 per cent year-on-year in the second quarter of FY26. "From the demand side, private consumption is a leading growth driver due to steady real income growth both in upper- and lower-income households. The resilient services sector along with the favourable base-led goods exports growth in the manufacturing sector propelled GDP growth .
NIPFP pegs India's FY26 GDP growth at 7.4% - higher than RBI's 6.8% forecast - citing GST reforms, robust investment, and strong US economic performance
CEA V Anantha Nageswaran says India's economy is performing better than expected, with growth likely above 6.7 per cent this fiscal, aided by fiscal discipline, tax reforms, and steady inflation
Deloitte India on Thursday projected India's economy to grow 6.7-6.9 per cent in the current fiscal amid buoyant demand and policy reforms. Indian economy grew 7.8 per cent in the April-June quarter of current fiscal. Deloitte India's 'India Economic Outlook' report forecasts a GDP growth between 6.7 and 6.9 per cent, averaging 6.8 per cent this fiscal year, up by 0.3 percentage points from Deloitte's previous forecast. This performance signals not just resilience but a renewed sense of India emerging stronger than most nations. Similar growth rates are expected in the subsequent year, but the range of variation remains broader due to uncertainties associated with trade and investment. The GDP growth forecast is in lines with the RBI which projected FY26 economic growth at 6.8 per cent. Growth is likely to be supported by buoyant domestic demand, accommodative monetary policy, and structural reforms, such as GST 2.0. Low inflation will contribute to spending as purchasing power ..
He further said that India's Gross National Income (GNI) per capita of $2,650 needs to double for it to get around the low-middle income group
India, however, is expected to remain the world's fastest-growing major economy, supported by continued strength in consumption growth
A favourable base effect and low deflator growth which boosted the headline figure in Q1 is likely to have continued in Q2 - though less pronounced
India's fiscal deficit rose to 38.1 per cent of FY26 budget estimates in April-August, driven by higher capital expenditure and muted revenue receipts, CGA data showed
CEA V Anantha Nageswaran said India's Q1 growth momentum will continue into Q2 FY26, with GST reforms lifting demand, fiscal deficit on track, and borrowing plans unchanged